Booz Allen Hamilton Hldg (BAH:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report


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Booz Allen Hamilton Hldg $44.02 (USD) Close Price as of 29/05/2018

Based on the analysis conducted in this report, Booz Allen Hamilton Hldg, (BAH:NYS) is found to be  Fairly valued to slightly Undervalued.

Company Booz Allen Hamilton Hldg
Symbol:Exchange BAH:NYS
Industry Industrials:Business Services
Close Price/Date $44.02 (USD) 29/05/2018
Weighted Average Valuation $44.79 (USD)
Summary BAH:NYS is found to be  Fairly valued to slightly Undervalued by 1.8% using the 3 valuation models shown below.
Valuation Models Used Analyst Consensus: $45.50 (USD)
(in order of importance) Discounted Cash Flow: $45.44 (USD)
Adjusted Book Value: $41.37 (USD)
Valuation Methods Analysis This company is:
Cash Flow Basis: Fairly valued on a Cash Flow Valuation basis
Comparable Company Basis: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation basis
Asset Basis: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation basis

Valuation Details

Booz Allen Hamilton Hldg Valuations

Summary chart

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for BAH:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $45.44 (USD) for BAH:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

BAH:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $45.44 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 7.57 $59.77 $35.92
Terminal Growth Rate 2.60 $36.83 $58.40
Tax Rate 0.39 $49.70 $41.18
Cash Flow 700,450,200 $42.71 $48.18
Capital Expenditures -41,997,600 $45.28 $45.61
Long Term Debt 1,563,117,000 $45.98 $44.90

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $17.28 (USD) for BAH:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $24.69 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Conduent (CNDT:NYS), Convergys (CVG:NYS), Deluxe (DLX:NYS), Maximus (MMS:NYS) and Synnex (SNX:NYS)

Company BAH:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.91 (USD)
Book Value/Share $3.89 (USD)
Sales/Share $41.06 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $2.32 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $0.00 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$38.29 (USD) -45.9
$8.87 (USD) 99.0
$41.90 (USD) -69.8
$25.63 (USD) -29.4
$0.00 (USD) -17.2
BAH:NYS Ratios Used Average Values CNDT:NYS CVG:NYS DLX:NYS MMS:NYS SNX:NYS
23.05 PE Ratio 20.05 31.20 20.88 13.82 17.97 16.38
11.32 PB Ratio 2.28 1.14 1.58 3.06 3.75 1.87
1.07 PS Ratio 1.02 0.71 0.86 1.65 1.65 0.24
18.95 PCF Ratio 11.03 11.21 9.74 9.42 12.76 12.03
13.82 EV to EBITDA 8.73 9.58 7.43 8.45 9.88 8.33

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $38.37 (USD) for BAH:NYS

Company BAH:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.91 (USD)
Book Value/Share $3.89 (USD)
Sales/Share $41.06 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $2.32 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $3.58 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$35.56 (USD) 0
$42.99 (USD) 0
$34.45 (USD) 0
$37.14 (USD) 0
$41.73 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 18.62
PB Ratio 11.05
PS Ratio 0.84
PCF Ratio 15.98
EV to EBITDA 11.65

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  BAH:NYS for the last 8 years was  10.92

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  BAH:NYS and generated a book value of  $3.79 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $41.37 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 2 analysts that provide a valuation for BAH:NYS. The 2 analysts have a concensus valuation for BAH:NYS for 2019 of $45.50 (USD).

BAH:NYS Booz Allen Hamilton Hldg

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
1 1 0 4.0000 Outperform 2018-5-28

Current Price: not available

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2018 2019 2020
Mean EPS 1.96 2.37 2.66
# EPS Analysts 1 1 1
Mean Revenue 6,225.10 6,567.50 6,895.90
# Revenue Analysts 1 1 1
Mean Target Price 45.50
Mean Cash Flow 2.66 2.67 3.15
Mean EBITDA 575.80 620.60 682.70
Mean Net Income 290.50 346.00 385.00
Mean Debt Outstanding 1,460.30 1,407.20 1,295.40
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure 77.80 72.20 69.00

Company Overview (BAH:NYS USD)

Price 44.02
Range 42.24 – 44.17
52 week 31.90 – 44.02
Open 42.39
Vol / Avg. 2.43M/680159
Mkt cap 6.39B
P/E 23.05
Div/yield 0.76/0.02
EPS 1.67
Shares 145.05M
Beta 0.94
Summary chart

Detailed Company Description

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp provides management and technology consulting, engineering, analytics, digital solutions, and cyber expertise to U.S. and international governments, major corporations, and not-for-profit organizations.

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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