Harris (HRS:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Harris(HRS:NYS)

Technology:Communication Equipment

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$147.03 (USD) 02/11/2018

Weighted Valuation
$161.00 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 9.5%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $187.40 (USD)
(in order of importance) Discounted Cash Flow: $143.13 (USD)
Adjusted Book Value: $117.56 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Fairly valued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (HRS:NYS USD)

Price 147.03
Range 146.81 – 151.33
52 week 137.56 – 173.53
Open 150.57
Vol / Avg. 1.56M/1.45M
Mkt cap 17.3B
P/E 23.12
Div/yield 2.28/0.02
EPS 5.92
Shares 117.66M
Beta 1.29

Company Description

Harris Corporation is a provider of electronic systems with applications in defense, civil government, and commercial applications. The United States government and its contractors are the firm’s largest customers. Its products include communications systems, serving defense and public safety networks; space and intelligence systems, providing Earth observation, environmental and geospatial solutions; and critical networks, for use in air traffic management, energy and maritime communications, and ground network operations. A large majority of the firm’s revenue is generated in the U.S.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for HRS:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $143.13 (USD) for HRS:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

HRS:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $143.13 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 9.13 $178.89 $117.42
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $120.27 $174.91
Tax Rate 0.22 $154.19 $132.07
Cash Flow 1,861,519,000 $133.98 $152.28
Capital Expenditures -151,260,000 $142.44 $143.82
Long Term Debt 4,486,000,000 $145.04 $141.22

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $70.81 (USD) for HRS:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $92.25 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Ciena (CIEN:NYS), CommScope Holding Co (COMM:NAS), Hewlett Packard (HPE:NYS), Juniper Networks (JNPR:NYS) and Motorola Solutions (MSI:NYS).

Company HRS:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $6.38 (USD)
Book Value/Share $27.57 (USD)
Sales/Share $52.20 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $6.39 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $11.20 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$158.85 (USD) -54.0
$58.34 (USD) 45.7
$90.33 (USD) -20.6
$58.87 (USD) -47.7
$128.74 (USD) -20.8
HRS:NYS Ratios Used Average Values CIEN:NYS COMM:NAS HPE:NYS JNPR:NYS MSI:NYS
23.38 PE Ratio 24.90 7.82 23.13 7.66 60.98 0.00
5.39 PB Ratio 2.12 2.51 2.72 0.96 2.28 0.00
2.85 PS Ratio 1.73 1.64 1.02 0.80 2.26 2.94
23.27 PCF Ratio 14.11 16.10 8.85 12.03 12.61 20.99
15.29 EV to EBITDA 11.49 14.80 9.88 8.62 9.63 14.53

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $130.79 (USD) for HRS:NYS

Company HRS:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $6.38 (USD)
Book Value/Share $27.57 (USD)
Sales/Share $52.20 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $6.39 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $11.20 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$173.32 (USD) 0
$119.88 (USD) 0
$87.05 (USD) 0
$98.71 (USD) 0
$175.02 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 27.17
PB Ratio 4.35
PS Ratio 1.67
PCF Ratio 15.44
EV to EBITDA 15.62

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  HRS:NYS for the last 10 years was  4.29

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  HRS:NYS and generated a book value of  $27.43 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $117.56 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 5 analysts that provide a valuation for HRS:NYS. The 5 analysts have a concensus valuation for HRS:NYS for 2019 of $187.40 (USD).

HRS:NYS Harris

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
5 1 0 4.6667 Buy 2018-11-1

Current Price: 147.03 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2019 2020 2021
Mean EPS 7.93 9.02 9.78
# EPS Analysts 5 5 3
Mean Revenue 6,627.70 7,109.30 7,522.60
# Revenue Analysts 4 4 2
Mean Target Price 187.40
Mean Cash Flow 10.10 11.34 12.29
Mean EBITDA 1,537.90 1,675.90 1,807.30
Mean Net Income 947.80 1,065.80 1,175.70
Mean Debt Outstanding 2,879.30 2,528.00 2,127.40
Mean Tax Rate 16.50 17.00
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure 170.00 138.90 139.20

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

Notice to User


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