Skyworks Solutions (SWKS:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Skyworks Solutions(SWKS:NAS)

Technology:Semiconductors

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$72.95 (USD) 16/11/2018

Weighted Valuation
$106.30 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 45.7%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $107.00 (USD)
(in order of importance) Adjusted Book Value: $105.22 (USD)
Multiples: $106.38 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Undervalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Undervalued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (SWKS:NAS USD)

Price 72.95
Range 72.09 – 73.58
52 week 71.28 – 115.16
Open 72.30
Vol / Avg. 2.47M/2.81M
Mkt cap 12.98B
P/E 14.56
Div/yield 1.34/0.02
EPS 5.01
Shares 177.53M
Beta 0.63

Company Description

Skyworks Solutions produces semiconductors for wireless handsets and other devices that are used to enable wireless connectivity. Its main products include power amplifiers, filters, switches, and integrated front-end modules that support wireless transmissions. Skyworks’ customers are mostly large smartphone manufacturers, but the firm also has a growing presence in nonhandset applications such as wireless routers, medical devices, and automobiles.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for SWKS:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $116.52 (USD) for SWKS:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

SWKS:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $116.52 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 8.80 $140.86 $99.34
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $101.11 $138.35
Tax Rate 0.31 $125.07 $107.97
Cash Flow 1,933,310,000 $110.63 $122.41
Capital Expenditures 0 $116.52 $116.52
Long Term Debt 0 $116.52 $116.52

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $134.16 (USD) for SWKS:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $86.51 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Advanced Micro Devices (AMD:NAS), Integrated Device Tech (IDTI:NAS), Maxim Integrated Products (MXIM:NAS), ON Semiconductor (ON:NAS) and Silicon Laboratories (SLAB:NAS).

Company SWKS:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $5.01 (USD)
Book Value/Share $23.02 (USD)
Sales/Share $20.82 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $8.05 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $8.84 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$187.57 (USD) -55.7
$177.40 (USD) 5.4
$89.43 (USD) 6.2
$205.83 (USD) -19.3
$175.51 (USD) -20.5
SWKS:NAS Ratios Used Average Values AMD:NAS IDTI:NAS MXIM:NAS ON:NAS SLAB:NAS
17.53 PE Ratio 498.05 55.18 2340.50 30.50 7.46 56.62
3.77 PB Ratio 7.71 16.18 9.58 7.18 2.25 3.36
4.17 PS Ratio 4.29 3.16 7.05 5.76 1.30 4.21
10.78 PCF Ratio 25.58 59.41 25.53 17.44 6.93 18.58
8.62 EV to EBITDA 19.86 27.86 31.42 12.47 6.80 20.73

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $106.38 (USD) for SWKS:NAS

Company SWKS:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $5.01 (USD)
Book Value/Share $23.02 (USD)
Sales/Share $20.82 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $8.05 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $8.84 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$100.18 (USD) 0
$106.82 (USD) 0
$106.47 (USD) 0
$118.46 (USD) 0
$99.97 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 20.00
PB Ratio 4.64
PS Ratio 5.11
PCF Ratio 14.72
EV to EBITDA 11.31

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  SWKS:NAS for the last 10 years was  4.56

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  SWKS:NAS and generated a book value of  $23.09 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $105.22 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 5 analysts that provide a valuation for SWKS:NAS. The 5 analysts have a concensus valuation for SWKS:NAS for 2019 of $107.00 (USD).

SWKS:NAS Skyworks Solutions

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
5 1 0 4.5714 Buy 2018-11-15

Current Price: 72.95 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2019 2020 2021
Mean EPS 7.45 8.21 9.63
# EPS Analysts 6 6 1
Mean Revenue 3,933.90 4,226.60 4,581.90
# Revenue Analysts 5 5 1
Mean Target Price 107.00
Mean Cash Flow 9.00 9.85 11.06
Mean EBITDA 1,657.50 1,811.70 1,877.00
Mean Net Income 1,315.10 1,450.00 1,621.30
Mean Debt Outstanding -1,827.50 -2,188.70
Mean Tax Rate 10.33 9.67
Mean Growth Rate 11.19
Mean Capital Expenditure 411.20 411.20 400.00

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

Notice to User


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