Intuit (INTU:NAS) and Xilinx (XLNX:NAS) Are Fully Valued

Stockcalc – Free Trial

Have a free look inside the StockCalc website at www.stockcalc.com



I have used the analysis tools on the website stockcalc.com to generate some of the content of this blog post. These tools and reports are available for free at www.stockcalc.com/TopPicks.aspx.

Fully Valued Stocks on NASDAQ

Today we are looking at companies that are considered fully valued based on the Analyst data in the StockCalc database.

In this table we can see the close price and target price for these companies along with the number of analysts covering the stock. We also have included the fiscal year for the target price as sometimes these analyst targets are not for the current or even the next fiscal year.

There can be a number of reasons why a company would be on this list. What is particularly interesting are companies with a large analyst following that make this list. We need to dig deeper into these companies to understand why the difference in price versus target.

Today’s Data on NASDAQ

Today’s data is for companies listed on the NASDAQ.

Symbol Name Target Year Close Price Target Price Mean Currency Target Price # of Estimates
INTU Intuit Inc 2019 256.060000 237.0000 USD 5
XLNX Xilinx Inc 2020 127.060000 115.0000 USD 2
MELI MercadoLibre Inc 2019 482.360000 430.0000 USD 2
CTAS Cintas Corp 2020 206.520000 187.5000 USD 2
GRMN Garmin Ltd 2019 83.680000 73.0000 USD 2
IEP Icahn Enterprises LP 2019 73.890000 55.0000 USD 1
IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc 2019 79.610000 71.0000 USD 1
UBNT Ubiquiti Networks Inc 2020 143.200000 103.0000 USD 1
TTD The Trade Desk Inc 2019 205.670000 156.2000 USD 5
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc 2019 235.620000 205.0000 USD 1
BLUE bluebird bio Inc 2019 156.100000 145.3333 USD 3
CACC Credit Acceptance Corp 2019 451.710000 386.0000 USD 2
MDB MongoDB Inc 2020 138.760000 128.7500 USD 4
MLNX Mellanox Technologies Ltd 2019 117.780000 109.5000 USD 2
TREE LendingTree Inc 2019 336.510000 282.2000 USD 5
TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care Inc 2019 71.950000 60.5000 USD 2
BLKB Blackbaud Inc 2019 78.740000 65.0000 USD 1
APPF AppFolio Inc 2019 74.340000 62.0000 USD 1
AAON AAON Inc 2019 42.870000 35.0000 USD 1
MANT Mantech International Corp 2019 53.720000 44.0000 USD 1
FWRD Forward Air Corp 2019 62.720000 54.0000 USD 1
TLND Talend SA 2019 50.940000 42.0000 USD 1
SNBR Sleep Number Corp 2019 47.470000 27.0000 USD 1
ATNI ATN International Inc 2019 54.850000 45.0000 USD 1
SPNS Sapiens International Corp NV 2019 14.290000 5.0000 USD 1

Let’s look at a few companies…

Lets look at a couple of the companies on this list to get a better understanding of them.

INTU:NAS Intuit

http://www.intuit.com
Intuit has 8900 employees and is headquartered in United States.
Intuit Inc creates business and financial management solutions for small businesses, consumers, and accounting professionals. The company’s products and services include QuickBooks and TurboTax.

XLNX:NAS Xilinx

http://www.xilinx.com
Xilinx has 4014 employees and is headquartered in United States.
Xilinx Inc is a semiconductor manufacturing company. It engages in designing programmable logic such as chips for multiple applications that include communications, data processing, industrial, and automobile markets.

Free Valuation

Run a valuation on any of the companies listed above at www.stockcalc.com/valureport.aspx or subscribe at our Stockcalc Facebook Page to receive this list each day Stockcalc Reports.

The content presented here is in part from the website stockcalc.com and is provided on an as is or as available basis with all faults and may not be current in all cases. You should not rely on any of the information as authoritative or as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making an investment decision.

Salesforce.com (CRM:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report


Fundamental Valuation Report

Salesforce.com(CRM:NYS)

Technology:Software-Application

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$161.95 (USD) 18/03/2019

Weighted Valuation
$179.45 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 10.8%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $174.09 (USD)
(in order of importance) Adjusted Book Value: $187.50 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Undervalued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (CRM:NYS USD)

Price 161.95
Range 160.88 – 163.33
52 week 112.88 – 164.53
Open 161.40
Vol / Avg. 3.49M/6.44M
Mkt cap 124.86B
P/E 113.25
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS 1.43
Shares 771M
Beta 1.40

Company Description

Salesforce.com Inc is a software-as-as-service vendor that primarily develops customer relationship management, or CRM, products. The firm has a variety of cloud-based tools targeting horizontal markets such as Sales Cloud, to monitor sales leads, Service Cloud, for customer support, Marketing Cloud, to launch digital marketing campaigns, Commerce Cloud, a multitenant e-commerce tool, Quip, its collaboration tools, and the Salesforce Platform, which allows enterprises to build applications. Beyond this, Salesforce has various initiatives such as Trailhead, Einstein AI, Lightning, Internet of Things, Heroku, Analytics, AppExchange, and MuleSoft. Salesforce is the largest pure-play SaaS vendor in the world.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for CRM:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $89.61 (USD) for CRM:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

CRM:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $89.61 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 10.27 $104.71 $78.17
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $79.62 $102.79
Tax Rate -0.13 $93.59 $85.64
Cash Flow 5,017,954,000 $85.12 $94.11
Capital Expenditures -16,041,200 $89.60 $89.63
Long Term Debt 2,018,099,000 $89.75 $89.48

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $365.18 (USD) for CRM:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $339.05 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Adobe (ADBE:NAS), Autodesk (ADSK:NAS), Intuit (INTU:NAS), ServiceNow (NOW:NYS) and Red Hat (RHT:NYS).

Company CRM:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.43 (USD)
Book Value/Share $19.06 (USD)
Sales/Share $16.30 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $4.07 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $2.71 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$107.52 (USD) 0.0
$467.75 (USD) 65.7
$213.91 (USD) 91.3
$195.42 (USD) -24.7
$387.94 (USD) 0.0
CRM:NYS Ratios Used Average Values ADBE:NAS ADSK:NAS INTU:NAS NOW:NYS RHT:NYS
175.97 PE Ratio 75.19 50.48 0.00 51.70 0.00 123.38
8.59 PB Ratio 24.54 13.71 0.00 22.90 38.89 22.67
10.04 PS Ratio 13.13 14.47 13.89 10.43 16.32 10.53
40.20 PCF Ratio 49.01 32.43 94.62 30.43 52.50 35.05
72.28 EV to EBITDA 143.24 40.03 328.59 34.38 263.82 49.36

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $210.40 (USD) for CRM:NYS

Company CRM:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.43 (USD)
Book Value/Share $19.06 (USD)
Sales/Share $16.30 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $4.07 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $2.71 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$383.71 (USD) 0
$175.46 (USD) 0
$125.52 (USD) 0
$128.57 (USD) 0
$238.76 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 268.33
PB Ratio 9.21
PS Ratio 7.70
PCF Ratio 31.58
EV to EBITDA 88.15

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  CRM:NYS for the last 10 years was  9.25

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  CRM:NYS and generated a book value of  $20.27 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $187.50 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 11 analysts that provide a valuation for CRM:NYS. The 11 analysts have a concensus valuation for CRM:NYS for 2020 of $174.09 (USD).

CRM:NYS Salesforce.com

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
9 3 0 4.4615 Outperform 2019-3-15

Current Price: 161.95 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2020 2021 2022
Mean EPS 2.78 3.45 4.35
# EPS Analysts 13 11 5
Mean Revenue 16,038.20 19,172.20 22,784.90
# Revenue Analysts 11 9 5
Mean Target Price 174.09
Mean Cash Flow 5.00 5.80 6.88
Mean EBITDA 3,046.70 4,224.10 4,871.80
Mean Net Income 2,070.00 2,634.30 3,058.30
Mean Debt Outstanding -5,574.10 -9,105.90 -8,198.50
Mean Tax Rate 22.00 22.50 22.75
Mean Growth Rate 21.63
Mean Capital Expenditure 733.20 866.00 1,030.00

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).
The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.
We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.
Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.
With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.
If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

Notice to User


The contents of this report and the Stockcalc website are provided on an ‘‘as is’’ or ‘‘as available’’ basis with all faults and may not be current in all cases. The information in this report or on the website is subject to continuous change and Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. assumes no responsibility to update or amend such information or that the information will be current. Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. does not claim that all information, calculations or opinions presented in this report or on its website are true, reliable, or complete. Accordingly, you should not rely on any of the information as authoritative or as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making an investment or other decision. Any information, data, opinions, calculations or recommendations provided by third parties through links to other websites or otherwise made available through this report or website are solely those of the third party and not of Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. Please refer to the Terms of Use on stockcalc.com for further information.
To access all of the tools on Stockcalc, including more detailed valuation reports and the models used to generate these valuations, please subscribe for a free 30 day trial of Stockcalc here.


Salesforce.com (CRM:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Salesforce.com(CRM:NYS)

Technology:Software-Application

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$160.67 (USD) 14/03/2019

Weighted Valuation
$179.53 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 11.7%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $174.09 (USD)
(in order of importance) Adjusted Book Value: $187.69 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Undervalued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (CRM:NYS USD)

Price 160.67
Range 159.74 – 161.59
52 week 112.88 – 164.53
Open 160.95
Vol / Avg. 3.23M/6.45M
Mkt cap 123.88B
P/E 112.36
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS 1.43
Shares 771M
Beta 1.40

Company Description

Salesforce.com Inc is a software-as-as-service vendor that primarily develops customer relationship management, or CRM, products. The firm has a variety of cloud-based tools targeting horizontal markets such as Sales Cloud, to monitor sales leads, Service Cloud, for customer support, Marketing Cloud, to launch digital marketing campaigns, Commerce Cloud, a multitenant e-commerce tool, Quip, its collaboration tools, and the Salesforce Platform, which allows enterprises to build applications. Beyond this, Salesforce has various initiatives such as Trailhead, Einstein AI, Lightning, Internet of Things, Heroku, Analytics, AppExchange, and MuleSoft. Salesforce is the largest pure-play SaaS vendor in the world.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for CRM:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $89.61 (USD) for CRM:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

CRM:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $89.61 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 10.27 $104.71 $78.17
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $79.62 $102.79
Tax Rate -0.13 $93.59 $85.64
Cash Flow 5,017,954,000 $85.12 $94.11
Capital Expenditures -16,041,200 $89.60 $89.63
Long Term Debt 2,018,099,000 $89.75 $89.48

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $365.39 (USD) for CRM:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $339.43 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Adobe (ADBE:NAS), Autodesk (ADSK:NAS), Intuit (INTU:NAS), ServiceNow (NOW:NYS) and Red Hat (RHT:NYS).

Company CRM:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.43 (USD)
Book Value/Share $19.06 (USD)
Sales/Share $16.30 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $4.07 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $2.71 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$107.52 (USD) 0.0
$467.75 (USD) 65.9
$213.91 (USD) 91.3
$195.42 (USD) -24.7
$387.94 (USD) 0.0
CRM:NYS Ratios Used Average Values ADBE:NAS ADSK:NAS INTU:NAS NOW:NYS RHT:NYS
175.97 PE Ratio 75.19 50.48 0.00 51.70 0.00 123.38
8.59 PB Ratio 24.54 13.71 0.00 22.90 38.89 22.67
10.04 PS Ratio 13.13 14.47 13.89 10.43 16.32 10.53
40.20 PCF Ratio 49.01 32.43 94.62 30.43 52.50 35.05
72.28 EV to EBITDA 143.24 40.03 328.59 34.38 263.82 49.36

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $210.40 (USD) for CRM:NYS

Company CRM:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.43 (USD)
Book Value/Share $19.06 (USD)
Sales/Share $16.30 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $4.07 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $2.71 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$383.71 (USD) 0
$175.47 (USD) 0
$125.52 (USD) 0
$128.57 (USD) 0
$238.76 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 268.33
PB Ratio 9.21
PS Ratio 7.70
PCF Ratio 31.58
EV to EBITDA 88.15

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  CRM:NYS for the last 10 years was  9.26

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  CRM:NYS and generated a book value of  $20.27 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $187.69 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 11 analysts that provide a valuation for CRM:NYS. The 11 analysts have a concensus valuation for CRM:NYS for 2020 of $174.09 (USD).

CRM:NYS Salesforce.com

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
9 3 0 4.4615 Outperform 2019-3-13

Current Price: 160.67 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2020 2021 2022
Mean EPS 2.78 3.45 4.35
# EPS Analysts 13 11 5
Mean Revenue 16,038.20 19,172.20 22,784.90
# Revenue Analysts 11 9 5
Mean Target Price 174.09
Mean Cash Flow 5.00 5.80 6.88
Mean EBITDA 3,046.70 4,224.10 4,871.80
Mean Net Income 2,070.00 2,634.30 3,058.30
Mean Debt Outstanding -5,574.10 -9,105.90 -8,198.50
Mean Tax Rate 22.00 22.50 22.75
Mean Growth Rate 21.63
Mean Capital Expenditure 733.20 866.00 1,030.00

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

Notice to User


The contents of this report and the Stockcalc website are provided on an ‘‘as is’’ or ‘‘as available’’ basis with all faults and may not be current in all cases. The information in this report or on the website is subject to continuous change and Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. assumes no responsibility to update or amend such information or that the information will be current. Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. does not claim that all information, calculations or opinions presented in this report or on its website are true, reliable, or complete. Accordingly, you should not rely on any of the information as authoritative or as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making an investment or other decision. Any information, data, opinions, calculations or recommendations provided by third parties through links to other websites or otherwise made available through this report or website are solely those of the third party and not of Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. Please refer to the Terms of Use on stockcalc.com for further information.
To access all of the tools on Stockcalc, including more detailed valuation reports and the models used to generate these valuations, please subscribe for a free 30 day trial of Stockcalc here.


Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA:NAS) and Intuit (INTU:NAS) Are Fully Valued

Stockcalc – Free Trial

Have a free look inside the StockCalc website at www.stockcalc.com



I have used the analysis tools on the website stockcalc.com to generate some of the content of this blog post. These tools and reports are available for free at www.stockcalc.com/TopPicks.aspx.

Fully Valued Stocks on NASDAQ

Today we are looking at companies that are considered fully valued based on the Analyst data in the StockCalc database.

In this table we can see the close price and target price for these companies along with the number of analysts covering the stock. We also have included the fiscal year for the target price as sometimes these analyst targets are not for the current or even the next fiscal year.

There can be a number of reasons why a company would be on this list. What is particularly interesting are companies with a large analyst following that make this list. We need to dig deeper into these companies to understand why the difference in price versus target.

Today’s Data on NASDAQ

Today’s data is for companies listed on the NASDAQ.

Symbol Name Target Year Close Price Target Price Mean Currency Target Price # of Estimates
FOXA Twenty-First Century Fox Inc 2020 50.880000 42.1400 USD 5
FOX Twenty-First Century Fox Inc 2020 50.680000 42.1400 USD 5
INTU Intuit Inc 2019 250.300000 237.0000 USD 5
MELI MercadoLibre Inc 2019 483.480000 430.0000 USD 2
CTAS Cintas Corp 2020 204.090000 187.5000 USD 2
GRMN Garmin Ltd 2019 84.530000 73.0000 USD 2
IEP Icahn Enterprises LP 2019 71.340000 55.0000 USD 1
UBNT Ubiquiti Networks Inc 2020 142.470000 103.0000 USD 1
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc 2019 229.780000 205.0000 USD 1
TTD The Trade Desk Inc 2019 207.800000 156.2000 USD 5
CACC Credit Acceptance Corp 2019 446.860000 386.0000 USD 2
MLNX Mellanox Technologies Ltd 2019 118.160000 109.5000 USD 2
MDB MongoDB Inc 2020 104.880000 88.7500 USD 4
LSTR Landstar System Inc 2019 109.940000 101.0000 USD 2
TREE LendingTree Inc 2019 322.310000 282.2000 USD 5
TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care Inc 2019 69.230000 60.5000 USD 2
BLKB Blackbaud Inc 2019 78.960000 65.0000 USD 1
IRBT iRobot Corp 2019 123.980000 114.0000 USD 1
APPF AppFolio Inc 2019 71.510000 62.0000 USD 1
MANT Mantech International Corp 2019 53.780000 44.0000 USD 1
FWRD Forward Air Corp 2019 63.000000 54.0000 USD 1
STMP Stamps.com Inc 2019 89.560000 78.0000 USD 1
SNBR Sleep Number Corp 2019 47.240000 27.0000 USD 1
ATNI ATN International Inc 2019 56.780000 45.0000 USD 1
SPNS Sapiens International Corp NV 2019 13.680000 5.0000 USD 1

Let’s look at a few companies…

Lets look at a couple of the companies on this list to get a better understanding of them.

FOXA:NAS Twenty-First Century Fox

http://www.21cf.com
Twenty-First Century Fox has 22400 employees and is headquartered in United States.
Twenty-First Century Fox Inc is a diversified media and entertainment company. It operates in various business segments namely Cable Network Programming, Television, Filmed Entertainment, and Direct Broadcast Satellite Television.

INTU:NAS Intuit

http://www.intuit.com
Intuit has 8900 employees and is headquartered in United States.
Intuit Inc creates business and financial management solutions for small businesses, consumers, and accounting professionals. The company’s products and services include QuickBooks and TurboTax.

Free Valuation

Run a valuation on any of the companies listed above at www.stockcalc.com/valureport.aspx or subscribe at our Stockcalc Facebook Page to receive this list each day Stockcalc Reports.

The content presented here is in part from the website stockcalc.com and is provided on an as is or as available basis with all faults and may not be current in all cases. You should not rely on any of the information as authoritative or as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making an investment decision.

Salesforce.com (CRM:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Salesforce.com(CRM:NYS)

Technology:Software-Application

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$157.65 (USD) 11/03/2019

Weighted Valuation
$179.48 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 13.8%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $174.00 (USD)
(in order of importance) Adjusted Book Value: $187.69 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Undervalued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (CRM:NYS USD)

Price 157.65
Range 153.43 – 157.77
52 week 112.88 – 164.53
Open 155.90
Vol / Avg. 5.65M/6.72M
Mkt cap 121.55B
P/E 110.24
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS 1.43
Shares 771M
Beta 1.40

Company Description

Salesforce.com Inc is a software-as-as-service vendor that primarily develops customer relationship management, or CRM, products. The firm has a variety of cloud-based tools targeting horizontal markets such as Sales Cloud, to monitor sales leads, Service Cloud, for customer support, Marketing Cloud, to launch digital marketing campaigns, Commerce Cloud, a multitenant e-commerce tool, Quip, its collaboration tools, and the Salesforce Platform, which allows enterprises to build applications. Beyond this, Salesforce has various initiatives such as Trailhead, Einstein AI, Lightning, Internet of Things, Heroku, Analytics, AppExchange, and MuleSoft. Salesforce is the largest pure-play SaaS vendor in the world.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for CRM:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $89.84 (USD) for CRM:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

CRM:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $89.84 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 10.27 $104.94 $78.39
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $79.85 $103.02
Tax Rate -0.13 $93.82 $85.86
Cash Flow 5,017,954,000 $85.33 $94.35
Capital Expenditures -16,041,200 $89.83 $89.85
Long Term Debt 2,018,099,000 $89.97 $89.71

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $365.41 (USD) for CRM:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $339.17 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Adobe (ADBE:NAS), Autodesk (ADSK:NAS), Intuit (INTU:NAS), ServiceNow (NOW:NYS) and Red Hat (RHT:NYS).

Company CRM:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.43 (USD)
Book Value/Share $19.06 (USD)
Sales/Share $16.30 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $4.07 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $2.71 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$107.52 (USD) 0.0
$467.75 (USD) 65.9
$213.91 (USD) 91.3
$195.42 (USD) -24.7
$387.94 (USD) 0.0
CRM:NYS Ratios Used Average Values ADBE:NAS ADSK:NAS INTU:NAS NOW:NYS RHT:NYS
175.97 PE Ratio 75.19 50.48 0.00 51.70 0.00 123.38
8.59 PB Ratio 24.54 13.71 0.00 22.90 38.89 22.67
10.04 PS Ratio 13.13 14.47 13.89 10.43 16.32 10.53
40.20 PCF Ratio 49.01 32.43 94.62 30.43 52.50 35.05
72.28 EV to EBITDA 143.24 40.03 328.59 34.38 263.82 49.36

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $210.40 (USD) for CRM:NYS

Company CRM:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.43 (USD)
Book Value/Share $19.06 (USD)
Sales/Share $16.30 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $4.07 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $2.71 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$383.71 (USD) 0
$175.47 (USD) 0
$125.52 (USD) 0
$128.57 (USD) 0
$238.76 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 268.33
PB Ratio 9.21
PS Ratio 7.70
PCF Ratio 31.58
EV to EBITDA 88.15

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  CRM:NYS for the last 10 years was  9.26

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  CRM:NYS and generated a book value of  $20.27 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $187.69 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 11 analysts that provide a valuation for CRM:NYS. The 11 analysts have a concensus valuation for CRM:NYS for 2020 of $174.00 (USD).

CRM:NYS Salesforce.com

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
9 3 0 4.4615 Outperform 2019-3-8

Current Price: 157.65 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2020 2021 2022
Mean EPS 2.79 3.45 4.32
# EPS Analysts 13 11 4
Mean Revenue 16,030.70 19,127.30 22,677.60
# Revenue Analysts 11 9 4
Mean Target Price 174.00
Mean Cash Flow 5.00 5.80 6.88
Mean EBITDA 3,214.90 4,224.10 4,871.80
Mean Net Income 2,070.00 2,634.30 3,058.30
Mean Debt Outstanding -5,574.10 -9,105.90 -8,198.50
Mean Tax Rate 22.00 22.50 22.75
Mean Growth Rate 21.63
Mean Capital Expenditure 733.20 866.00 1,030.00

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

Notice to User


The contents of this report and the Stockcalc website are provided on an ‘‘as is’’ or ‘‘as available’’ basis with all faults and may not be current in all cases. The information in this report or on the website is subject to continuous change and Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. assumes no responsibility to update or amend such information or that the information will be current. Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. does not claim that all information, calculations or opinions presented in this report or on its website are true, reliable, or complete. Accordingly, you should not rely on any of the information as authoritative or as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making an investment or other decision. Any information, data, opinions, calculations or recommendations provided by third parties through links to other websites or otherwise made available through this report or website are solely those of the third party and not of Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. Please refer to the Terms of Use on stockcalc.com for further information.
To access all of the tools on Stockcalc, including more detailed valuation reports and the models used to generate these valuations, please subscribe for a free 30 day trial of Stockcalc here.


Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA:NAS) and Intuit (INTU:NAS) Are Fully Valued

Stockcalc – Free Trial

Have a free look inside the StockCalc website at www.stockcalc.com



I have used the analysis tools on the website stockcalc.com to generate some of the content of this blog post. These tools and reports are available for free at www.stockcalc.com/TopPicks.aspx.

Fully Valued Stocks on NASDAQ

Today we are looking at companies that are considered fully valued based on the Analyst data in the StockCalc database.

In this table we can see the close price and target price for these companies along with the number of analysts covering the stock. We also have included the fiscal year for the target price as sometimes these analyst targets are not for the current or even the next fiscal year.

There can be a number of reasons why a company would be on this list. What is particularly interesting are companies with a large analyst following that make this list. We need to dig deeper into these companies to understand why the difference in price versus target.

Today’s Data on NASDAQ

Today’s data is for companies listed on the NASDAQ.

Symbol Name Target Year Close Price Target Price Mean Currency Target Price # of Estimates
FOXA Twenty-First Century Fox Inc 2020 50.550000 42.6167 USD 6
FOX Twenty-First Century Fox Inc 2020 50.310000 42.6167 USD 6
INTU Intuit Inc 2019 247.090000 237.0000 USD 5
XLNX Xilinx Inc 2020 122.950000 115.0000 USD 2
CTAS Cintas Corp 2020 205.370000 187.5000 USD 2
MELI MercadoLibre Inc 2019 467.770000 430.0000 USD 2
GRMN Garmin Ltd 2019 83.970000 73.0000 USD 2
IEP Icahn Enterprises LP 2019 75.480000 55.0000 USD 1
UBNT Ubiquiti Networks Inc 2020 143.970000 103.0000 USD 1
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc 2019 233.920000 205.0000 USD 1
OKTA Okta Inc 2020 80.110000 72.3333 USD 3
CACC Credit Acceptance Corp 2019 443.180000 386.0000 USD 2
TTD The Trade Desk Inc 2019 191.230000 141.2000 USD 5
COUP Coupa Software Inc 2020 93.640000 82.2500 USD 4
MDB MongoDB Inc 2020 101.030000 88.7500 USD 4
TREE LendingTree Inc 2019 316.610000 268.7500 USD 4
BLKB Blackbaud Inc 2019 77.250000 65.0000 USD 1
IRBT iRobot Corp 2019 129.360000 114.0000 USD 1
MANT Mantech International Corp 2019 54.390000 44.0000 USD 1
FWRD Forward Air Corp 2019 62.060000 54.0000 USD 1
STMP Stamps.com Inc 2019 94.150000 78.0000 USD 1
SNBR Sleep Number Corp 2019 46.290000 27.0000 USD 1
ATNI ATN International Inc 2019 55.490000 45.0000 USD 1
DOMO Domo Inc 2020 32.250000 23.5000 USD 2
SPNS Sapiens International Corp NV 2019 14.010000 5.0000 USD 1

Let’s look at a few companies…

Lets look at a couple of the companies on this list to get a better understanding of them.

FOXA:NAS Twenty-First Century Fox

http://www.21cf.com
Twenty-First Century Fox has 22400 employees and is headquartered in United States.
Twenty-First Century Fox Inc is a diversified media and entertainment company. It operates in various business segments namely Cable Network Programming, Television, Filmed Entertainment, and Direct Broadcast Satellite Television.

INTU:NAS Intuit

http://www.intuit.com
Intuit has 8900 employees and is headquartered in United States.
Intuit Inc creates business and financial management solutions for small businesses, consumers, and accounting professionals. The company’s products and services include QuickBooks and TurboTax.

Free Valuation

Run a valuation on any of the companies listed above at www.stockcalc.com/valureport.aspx or subscribe at our Stockcalc Facebook Page to receive this list each day Stockcalc Reports.

The content presented here is in part from the website stockcalc.com and is provided on an as is or as available basis with all faults and may not be current in all cases. You should not rely on any of the information as authoritative or as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making an investment decision.

Intuit (INTU:NAS) and Workday (WDAY:NAS) Are Fully Valued

Stockcalc – Free Trial

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I have used the analysis tools on the website stockcalc.com to generate some of the content of this blog post. These tools and reports are available for free at www.stockcalc.com/TopPicks.aspx.

Fully Valued Stocks on NASDAQ

Today we are looking at companies that are considered fully valued based on the Analyst data in the StockCalc database.

In this table we can see the close price and target price for these companies along with the number of analysts covering the stock. We also have included the fiscal year for the target price as sometimes these analyst targets are not for the current or even the next fiscal year.

There can be a number of reasons why a company would be on this list. What is particularly interesting are companies with a large analyst following that make this list. We need to dig deeper into these companies to understand why the difference in price versus target.

Today’s Data on NASDAQ

Today’s data is for companies listed on the NASDAQ.

Symbol Name Target Year Close Price Target Price Mean Currency Target Price # of Estimates
INTU Intuit Inc 2019 248.910000 237.0000 USD 5
WDAY Workday Inc 2020 195.120000 163.8571 USD 7
CTAS Cintas Corp 2020 203.200000 187.5000 USD 2
GRMN Garmin Ltd 2019 83.650000 73.0000 USD 2
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp 2019 85.610000 75.0000 USD 1
IEP Icahn Enterprises LP 2019 70.390000 53.0000 USD 1
UBNT Ubiquiti Networks Inc 2019 146.430000 103.0000 USD 1
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc 2019 240.450000 205.0000 USD 1
OKTA Okta Inc 2020 83.750000 72.3333 USD 3
TTD The Trade Desk Inc 2019 195.500000 141.2000 USD 5
CACC Credit Acceptance Corp 2019 439.530000 386.0000 USD 2
TECH Bio-Techne Corp 2019 191.560000 175.0000 USD 1
COUP Coupa Software Inc 2020 94.400000 82.2500 USD 4
MDB MongoDB Inc 2020 98.270000 88.7500 USD 4
WIX Wix.com Ltd 2019 114.090000 101.6667 USD 3
ONCE Spark Therapeutics Inc 2019 113.450000 90.9000 USD 5
TREE LendingTree Inc 2019 309.750000 252.5000 USD 4
MANT Mantech International Corp 2019 53.330000 44.0000 USD 1
FWRD Forward Air Corp 2019 64.950000 54.0000 USD 1
STMP Stamps.com Inc 2019 97.230000 78.0000 USD 1
TCMD Tactile Systems Technology Inc 2019 73.760000 55.0000 USD 1
SNBR Sleep Number Corp 2019 43.800000 27.0000 USD 1
KFRC Kforce Inc 2019 37.860000 29.0000 USD 1
DOMO Domo Inc 2020 34.730000 23.5000 USD 2
ATNI ATN International Inc 2019 55.380000 45.0000 USD 1

Let’s look at a few companies…

Lets look at a couple of the companies on this list to get a better understanding of them.

INTU:NAS Intuit

http://www.intuit.com
Intuit has 8900 employees and is headquartered in United States.
Intuit Inc creates business and financial management solutions for small businesses, consumers, and accounting professionals. The company’s products and services include QuickBooks and TurboTax.

WDAY:NAS Workday

http://www.workday.com
Workday has 10200 employees and is headquartered in United States.
Workday Inc is a SaaS provider offering enterprise resource planning, or ERP, software for medium and large enterprises. The company’s product portfolio is built around human capital and financial management software.

Free Valuation

Run a valuation on any of the companies listed above at www.stockcalc.com/valureport.aspx or subscribe at our Stockcalc Facebook Page to receive this list each day Stockcalc Reports.

The content presented here is in part from the website stockcalc.com and is provided on an as is or as available basis with all faults and may not be current in all cases. You should not rely on any of the information as authoritative or as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making an investment decision.

Microsoft (MSFT:NAS) and Norfolk Southern (NSC:NYS) Downgraded

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I have used the analysis tools on the website stockcalc.com to generate some of the content of this blog post. These tools and reports are available for free at www.stockcalc.com/toppicks.aspx.

Downgraded Stocks on NYSE, NASDAQ, AMEX, TSE, and TSX

Today we are looking at companies whose share price has been downgraded by at least one analyst in the last few days.

Why Do Companies Get Downgraded?

Companies can get downgraded for a number of reasons but primarily due to reduced future earnings potential due to loss of contracts, faultering product lines, increasing costs relative to revenue or financial risk.

In the list below you can see the number of analysts we have in the StockCalc database along with the number of buy-hold-sell on the company.

Today’s Data on NYSE, NASDAQ, AMEX, TSE, and TSX

Below we have today’s data for companies listed on all of the New York Stock Exchange, NASDAQ Stock Exchange, American Stock Exchange, Toronto Stock Exchange, and TSX Venture Exchange.

New York Stock Exchange
Symbol Name Buy Out Perform Hold Under Perform Sell No Opinion Mean Rating Prev Mean Rating Mean Label
NSC Norfolk Southern Corp 4 0 3 0 1 0 3.7500 3.8889 Outperform
NOW ServiceNow Inc 6 0 2 0 0 0 4.5000 4.6000 Outperform
PSA Public Storage 1 0 1 0 0 0 4.0000 4.5000 Outperform
SQ Square Inc 4 0 1 1 0 0 4.1667 4.2857 Outperform
LUV Southwest Airlines Co 2 0 2 0 0 0 4.0000 4.2000 Outperform
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd 3 0 1 0 0 0 4.5000 4.6000 Outperform
CCEP Coca-Cola European Partners PLC 1 0 3 0 0 0 3.5000 3.8000 Hold
O Realty Income Corp 1 0 1 1 0 0 3.3333 3.6667 Hold
WAT Waters Corp 0 0 1 1 0 0 2.5000 2.6667 Underperform
MGA Magna International Inc 2 3 4 0 0 0 3.7778 4.0000 Outperform
ALB Albemarle Corp 5 1 1 0 0 0 4.5714 4.7143 Buy
LN LINE Corp 0 0 1 0 0 0 3.0000 3.5000 Hold
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc 1 0 1 0 0 0 4.0000 5.0000 Outperform
KL Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd 4 1 7 0 0 0 3.7500 4.1818 Outperform
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc 1 0 4 0 0 0 3.4000 3.6667 Hold
WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc 2 1 0 0 0 0 4.6667 5.0000 Buy
SERV ServiceMaster Global Holdings Inc 1 0 1 0 0 0 4.0000 4.3333 Outperform
VIPS Vipshop Holdings Ltd 1 0 1 0 1 0 3.0000 3.6667 Hold
BKU BankUnited Inc 1 0 1 0 0 0 4.0000 4.3333 Outperform
BOX Box Inc 4 0 1 0 0 0 4.6000 5.0000 Buy
AGI Alamos Gold Inc 6 3 5 0 0 0 4.0714 4.1429 Outperform
MTH Meritage Homes Corp 0 0 1 0 0 0 3.0000 4.0000 Hold
NE Noble Corp PLC 2 0 5 0 1 0 3.2500 3.5000 Hold
PDS Precision Drilling Corp 8 3 1 2 1 0 4.0000 4.0667 Outperform
ELVT Elevate Credit Inc 1 0 1 0 0 0 4.0000 5.0000 Outperform
Toronto Stock Exchange
Symbol Name Buy Out Perform Hold Under Perform Sell No Opinion Mean Rating Prev Mean Rating Mean Label
L Loblaw Companies Ltd 3 2 3 2 0 0 3.6000 3.9000 Outperform
MG Magna International Inc 2 3 4 0 0 0 3.7778 4.0000 Outperform
TECK.B Teck Resources Ltd 8 3 2 0 0 0 4.4615 4.5000 Outperform
TECK.A Teck Resources Ltd 8 3 2 0 0 0 4.4615 4.5000 Outperform
H Hydro One Ltd 0 1 7 0 4 0 2.4167 2.5000 Underperform
KL Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd 4 1 7 0 0 0 3.7500 4.1818 Outperform
FTT Finning International Inc 3 3 2 0 0 0 4.1250 4.6250 Outperform
AGI Alamos Gold Inc 6 3 5 0 0 0 4.0714 4.1429 Outperform
ATZ Aritzia Inc 3 2 0 0 0 0 4.6000 4.6667 Buy
LUG Lundin Gold Inc 0 4 1 0 0 0 3.8000 4.1429 Outperform
SUM Solium Capital Inc 0 0 2 0 6 0 1.5000 2.0000 Sell
SMU.UN Summit Industrial Income REIT 3 1 4 0 0 0 3.8750 4.1250 Outperform
PD Precision Drilling Corp 8 3 1 2 1 0 4.0000 4.0667 Outperform
AIF Altus Group Ltd 4 4 0 0 1 0 4.1111 4.3333 Outperform
VNR Valener Inc 0 0 6 0 0 0 3.0000 3.1667 Hold
WDO Wesdome Gold Mines Ltd 5 3 3 0 0 0 4.1818 4.3636 Outperform
TCW Trican Well Service Ltd 4 2 6 0 0 0 3.8333 3.9167 Outperform
TSX Venture Exchange
Symbol Name Buy Out Perform Hold Under Perform Sell No Opinion Mean Rating Prev Mean Rating Mean Label
AGI.WT Alamos Gold Inc 6 3 5 0 0 0 4.0714 4.1429 Outperform
PEO People Corp 5 2 0 0 0 0 4.7143 4.8333 Buy
BSR Bluestone Resources Inc 2 2 0 0 0 0 4.5000 4.6000 Outperform
XX Avante Logixx Inc 2 0 1 0 0 0 4.3333 4.6667 Outperform
NASDAQ
Symbol Name Buy Out Perform Hold Under Perform Sell No Opinion Mean Rating Prev Mean Rating Mean Label
MSFT Microsoft Corp 7 1 0 0 0 0 4.8750 4.8889 Buy
INTU Intuit Inc 4 0 3 0 1 0 3.7500 3.8750 Outperform
KHC The Kraft Heinz Co 2 1 1 0 2 0 3.1667 3.5000 Hold
SBAC SBA Communications Corp 2 0 0 0 1 0 3.6667 4.0000 Outperform
IQ iQIYI Inc 1 0 0 0 2 0 2.3333 3.0000 Underperform
AAL American Airlines Group Inc 1 0 3 0 0 0 3.5000 3.8000 Hold
PFG Principal Financial Group Inc 0 0 2 0 1 0 2.3333 2.5000 Underperform
DBX Dropbox Inc 3 0 0 0 1 0 4.0000 4.2500 Outperform
FSLR First Solar Inc 3 0 3 0 0 0 4.0000 4.1667 Outperform
GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia SA 0 0 1 0 0 0 3.0000 4.0000 Hold
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market Inc 2 0 3 0 1 0 3.3333 3.6667 Hold
STMP Stamps.com Inc 0 0 0 0 1 0 1.0000 5.0000 Sell
ANIK Anika Therapeutics Inc 1 0 1 0 0 0 4.0000 4.5000 Outperform

Let’s look at a few companies…

Lets look at a couple of the companies on this list to get a better understanding of them.

MSFT:NAS Microsoft

http://www.microsoft.com
Microsoft has 131000 employees and is headquartered in United States.
Microsoft Corp is a technology company. It develop, license, and support a wide range of software products and services. Its business is organized into three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing.

NSC:NYS Norfolk Southern

http://www.nscorp.com
Norfolk Southern has 26662 employees and is headquartered in United States.
Norfolk Southern Corp conducts rail transportation business. It transports raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States.

Free Valuation

Run a valuation on any of the companies listed above at www.stockcalc.com/valureport.aspx or subscribe at our Stockcalc Facebook Page to receive this list each day Stockcalc Reports.

The content presented here is in part from the website stockcalc.com and is provided on an as is or as available basis with all faults and may not be current in all cases. You should not rely on any of the information as authoritative or as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making an investment decision.

Intuit (INTU:NAS) and Workday (WDAY:NAS) Are Fully Valued

Stockcalc – Free Trial

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I have used the analysis tools on the website stockcalc.com to generate some of the content of this blog post. These tools and reports are available for free at www.stockcalc.com/TopPicks.aspx.

Fully Valued Stocks on NASDAQ

Today we are looking at companies that are considered fully valued based on the Analyst data in the StockCalc database.

In this table we can see the close price and target price for these companies along with the number of analysts covering the stock. We also have included the fiscal year for the target price as sometimes these analyst targets are not for the current or even the next fiscal year.

There can be a number of reasons why a company would be on this list. What is particularly interesting are companies with a large analyst following that make this list. We need to dig deeper into these companies to understand why the difference in price versus target.

Today’s Data on NASDAQ

Today’s data is for companies listed on the NASDAQ.

Symbol Name Target Year Close Price Target Price Mean Currency Target Price # of Estimates
INTU Intuit Inc 2019 234.630000 224.2000 USD 5
WDAY Workday Inc 2020 192.740000 159.4286 USD 7
XLNX Xilinx Inc 2020 118.960000 103.3333 USD 3
ORLY O’Reilly Automotive Inc 2019 384.540000 367.4000 USD 5
CTAS Cintas Corp 2020 203.490000 187.5000 USD 2
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp 2019 85.610000 71.0000 USD 2
IEP Icahn Enterprises LP 2019 70.610000 53.0000 USD 1
UBNT Ubiquiti Networks Inc 2019 138.220000 103.0000 USD 1
OKTA Okta Inc 2020 85.080000 73.0000 USD 4
MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc 2019 232.540000 205.0000 USD 1
CACC Credit Acceptance Corp 2019 444.980000 386.0000 USD 2
FIVE Five Below Inc 2020 129.110000 118.3333 USD 3
TTD The Trade Desk Inc 2019 161.700000 130.6000 USD 5
COUP Coupa Software Inc 2020 95.030000 82.2500 USD 4
MDB MongoDB Inc 2020 100.020000 88.7500 USD 4
WIX Wix.com Ltd 2019 125.750000 99.3333 USD 3
VSAT Viasat Inc 2020 74.600000 45.0000 USD 1
TREE LendingTree Inc 2019 317.910000 252.5000 USD 4
APPN Appian Corp 2019 38.270000 27.0000 USD 1
MANT Mantech International Corp 2019 57.920000 48.0000 USD 1
POWI Power Integrations Inc 2019 70.940000 60.0000 USD 1
TCMD Tactile Systems Technology Inc 2019 74.110000 55.0000 USD 1
SNBR Sleep Number Corp 2019 43.840000 27.0000 USD 1
ATNI ATN International Inc 2019 77.240000 45.0000 USD 1
KFRC Kforce Inc 2019 38.400000 29.0000 USD 1

Let’s look at a few companies…

Lets look at a couple of the companies on this list to get a better understanding of them.

INTU:NAS Intuit

http://www.intuit.com
Intuit has 8900 employees and is headquartered in United States.
Intuit Inc creates business and financial management solutions for small businesses, consumers, and accounting professionals. The company’s products and services include QuickBooks and TurboTax.

WDAY:NAS Workday

http://www.workday.com
Workday has 10200 employees and is headquartered in United States.
Workday Inc is a SaaS provider offering enterprise resource planning, or ERP, software for medium and large enterprises. The company’s product portfolio is built around human capital and financial management software.

Free Valuation

Run a valuation on any of the companies listed above at www.stockcalc.com/valureport.aspx or subscribe at our Stockcalc Facebook Page to receive this list each day Stockcalc Reports.

The content presented here is in part from the website stockcalc.com and is provided on an as is or as available basis with all faults and may not be current in all cases. You should not rely on any of the information as authoritative or as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making an investment decision.

Adobe (ADBE:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Adobe(ADBE:NAS)

Technology:Software-Application

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$253.74 (USD) 07/02/2019

Weighted Valuation
$285.01 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 12.3%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $290.14 (USD)
(in order of importance) Multiples: $277.31 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (ADBE:NAS USD)

Price 253.74
Range 250.28 – 254.31
52 week 187.99 – 275.49
Open 251.33
Vol / Avg. 2.07M/3.06M
Mkt cap 123.76B
P/E 48.80
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS 5.20
Shares 487.73M
Beta 1.15

Company Description

Adobe Systems Inc is a diversified software-as-a-service vendor that operates in two main strategic segments: digital media and digital experience. In digital media, the firm sells Creative Cloud, which is composed of a variety of software for developers, designers, photographers, and videographers, such as Photoshop, Lightroom, Illustrator, Adobe XD, InDesign, Adobe Premiere Pro, Dimension, After Effects, and Adobe Stock. Adobe’s digital experience segment, sold through Experience Cloud, is composed of Marketing Cloud, Analytics Cloud, and Advertising Cloud. These products allow enterprises to launch multichannel marketing campaigns, build brands, and gain customer insights. A minority of revenue comes from Adobe’s publishing segment.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for ADBE:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $184.39 (USD) for ADBE:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

ADBE:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $184.39 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 9.96 $216.73 $160.19
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $163.17 $212.73
Tax Rate 0.07 $193.93 $174.85
Cash Flow 7,390,456,000 $175.37 $193.42
Capital Expenditures -184,799,000 $184.20 $184.59
Long Term Debt 1,916,591,000 $184.59 $184.19

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $0.00 (USD) for ADBE:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $190.88 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Autodesk (ADSK:NAS), Salesforce.com (CRM:NYS), Intuit (INTU:NAS), ServiceNow (NOW:NYS) and Red Hat (RHT:NYS).

Company ADBE:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $5.20 (USD)
Book Value/Share $0.00 (USD)
Sales/Share $0.00 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $0.00 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $6.49 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$0.00 (USD) -15.3
$0.00 (USD) -19.9
$0.00 (USD) 76.1
($8.29) (USD) -51.9
$0.00 (USD) 21.3
ADBE:NAS Ratios Used Average Values ADSK:NAS CRM:NYS INTU:NAS NOW:NYS RHT:NYS
0.00 PE Ratio 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 PB Ratio 35.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.50 0.00
0.00 PS Ratio 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 0.00
0.00 PCF Ratio 48.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.24 0.00
0.00 EV to EBITDA 236.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 236.44 0.00

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $277.31 (USD) for ADBE:NAS

Company ADBE:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $5.20 (USD)
Book Value/Share $0.00 (USD)
Sales/Share $0.00 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $0.00 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $6.49 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$314.42 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
$240.19 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 60.47
PB Ratio 7.56
PS Ratio 10.25
PCF Ratio 30.42
EV to EBITDA 37.02

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  ADBE:NAS for the last 10 years was  7.32

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  ADBE:NAS and generated a book value of  $19.20 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $140.52 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 7 analysts that provide a valuation for ADBE:NAS. The 7 analysts have a concensus valuation for ADBE:NAS for 2019 of $290.14 (USD).

ADBE:NAS Adobe

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
7 2 0 4.5000 Outperform 2019-2-6

Current Price: 253.74 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2019 2020 2021
Mean EPS 7.81 9.58 11.42
# EPS Analysts 10 9 3
Mean Revenue 11,093.00 13,157.90 15,179.50
# Revenue Analysts 8 7 3
Mean Target Price 290.14
Mean Cash Flow 9.45 11.31 12.89
Mean EBITDA 4,808.50 6,088.50 7,175.20
Mean Net Income 3,900.00 4,841.10 6,193.20
Mean Debt Outstanding -1,640.00 -5,829.90 -13,838.80
Mean Tax Rate 10.05 13.00 18.00
Mean Growth Rate 26.58
Mean Capital Expenditure 290.30 317.50 327.40

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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