VersaBank (VB:TSE) Fundamental Valuation Report


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VersaBank $6.34 (CAD) Close Price as of 03/01/2018

Based on the analysis conducted in this report, VersaBank, (VB:TSE) is found to be  Undervalued.

Company VersaBank
Symbol:Exchange VB:TSE
Industry Financial Services:Banks-Regional-Canada
Close Price/Date $6.34 (CAD) 03/01/2018
Weighted Average Valuation $7.14 (CAD)
Summary VB:TSE is found to be  Undervalued by 12.6% using the 2 valuation models shown below.
Valuation Models Used Analyst Consensus: $8.00 (CAD)
(in order of importance) Adjusted Book Value: $5.85 (CAD)
Valuation Methods Analysis This company is:
Cash Flow Basis: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation basis
Comparable Company Basis: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation basis
Asset Basis: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation basis

Valuation Details

VersaBank Valuations

Summary chart

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for VB:TSE

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $4.78 (CAD) for VB:TSE

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

VB:TSE Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $4.78 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 12.76 $5.34 $4.33
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $4.40 $5.25
Tax Rate 0.32 $5.14 $4.43
Cash Flow 16,759,691 $4.54 $5.03
Capital Expenditures -448,600 $4.78 $4.79
Long Term Debt 0 $4.78 $4.78

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $10.70 (CAD) for VB:TSE. We also generated a valuation of $5.32 (CAD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Automotive Finco (AFCC:TSX), Crown Capital Partners (CRWN:TSE), Equity Financial Holdings (EQI.DL:TSE), Street Capital Group (SCB:TSE) and Trez Capital Mortgage Inv (TZZ:TSE)

Company VB:TSE End Date Value
Earnings/Share $0.83 (CAD)
Book Value/Share $8.48 (CAD)
Sales/Share $2.10 (CAD)
Cash Flow/Share $3.73 (CAD)
EBITDA/Share $2.04 (CAD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$14.00 (CAD) 0.0
$7.62 (CAD) -45.5
$9.77 (CAD) 15.4
$13.36 (CAD) 0.0
($0.47) (CAD) 0.0
VB:TSE Ratios Used Average Values AFCC:TSX CRWN:TSE EQI.DL:TSE SCB:TSE TZZ:TSE
7.64 PE Ratio 45.58 0.00 16.70 17.03 103.00 0.00
0.75 PB Ratio 0.90 1.01 0.88 0.97 0.92 0.70
3.02 PS Ratio 4.65 0.00 3.70 3.50 2.12 9.29
1.70 PCF Ratio 7.62 0.00 5.14 3.02 2.58 19.75
0.00 EV to EBITDA 5.33 0.00 0.00 4.39 6.27 0.00

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $8.62 (CAD) for VB:TSE

Company VB:TSE End Date Value
Earnings/Share $0.83 (CAD)
Book Value/Share $8.48 (CAD)
Sales/Share $2.10 (CAD)
Cash Flow/Share $3.73 (CAD)
EBITDA/Share $2.04 (CAD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$12.03 (CAD) 0
$5.85 (CAD) 0
$6.02 (CAD) 0
$6.03 (CAD) 0
$13.18 (CAD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 14.49
PB Ratio 0.69
PS Ratio 2.87
PCF Ratio 1.62
EV to EBITDA 6.47

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  VB:TSE for the last 5 years was  0.69

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  VB:TSE and generated a book value of  $8.48 (CAD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $5.85 (CAD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for VB:TSE. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for VB:TSE for 2018 of $8.00 (CAD).

VB:TSE VersaBank

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
0 0 0 2018-1-2

Current Price: not available

Analyst Consensus
CAD Millions 2018 2019
Mean EPS 0.62 0.77
# EPS Analysts 1 1
Mean Revenue 46.80
# Revenue Analysts 1
Mean Target Price 8.00
Mean Cash Flow
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure

Company Overview (VB:TSE CAD)

Summary chart

Detailed Company Description

VersaBank is a technologically proficient Canadian Schedule I chartered bank, operates using as electronic branchless model. It sources deposits, consumer loans, commercial loans, and leases electronically.

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).
The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.
We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.
Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.
With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.
If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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