Acuity Brands (AYI:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Acuity Brands(AYI:NYS)

Technology:Electronic Components

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$118.48 (USD) 26/10/2018

Weighted Valuation
$131.67 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 11.1%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $131.67 (USD)
(in order of importance)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Undervalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Undervalued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (AYI:NYS USD)

Price 118.48
Range 116.43 – 120.05
52 week 110.22 – 185.73
Open 117.30
Vol / Avg. 409558/901367
Mkt cap 4.76B
P/E 13.91
Div/yield 0.52/0.00
EPS 8.52
Shares 40.18M
Beta 1.40

Company Description

Acuity Brands Inc is the parent company of Acuity Brands Lighting and other subsidiaries, which provide lighting products for commercial, institutional, industrial, and residential applications. These products include luminaires, lighting controls, lighting components, and integrated lighting systems that use a combination of light sources. Customers include electrical distributors, electric utilities, retail home improvement centers, and lighting showrooms. A majority of the firms’ revenue is generated in the United States.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for AYI:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $165.97 (USD) for AYI:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

AYI:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $165.97 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 9.82 $196.43 $143.30
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $145.89 $192.95
Tax Rate 0.18 $177.58 $154.36
Cash Flow 740,467,000 $155.93 $176.01
Capital Expenditures -55,280,000 $165.30 $166.64
Long Term Debt 355,200,000 $166.41 $165.53

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $214.52 (USD) for AYI:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $83.75 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Belden (BDC:NYS), Energizer Holdings (ENR:NYS), EnerSys (ENS:NYS), OSI Systems (OSIS:NAS) and Sanmina (SANM:NAS).

Company AYI:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $8.52 (USD)
Book Value/Share $40.02 (USD)
Sales/Share $86.18 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $10.09 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $13.21 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$473.60 (USD) -15.8
$92.46 (USD) 96.3
$106.91 (USD) 61.9
$137.68 (USD) -8.4
$141.83 (USD) 39.1
AYI:NYS Ratios Used Average Values BDC:NYS ENR:NYS ENS:NYS OSIS:NAS SANM:NAS
19.67 PE Ratio 55.59 106.58 28.61 31.57 0.00 0.00
3.93 PB Ratio 16.52 2.15 73.34 3.13 2.82 1.14
1.82 PS Ratio 1.24 1.20 2.00 1.42 1.30 0.29
15.57 PCF Ratio 14.50 15.69 15.07 17.31 10.66 13.78
12.07 EV to EBITDA 10.73 11.11 12.79 11.95 10.34 7.48

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $253.49 (USD) for AYI:NYS

Company AYI:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $8.52 (USD)
Book Value/Share $40.02 (USD)
Sales/Share $86.18 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $10.09 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $13.21 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$285.63 (USD) 0
$222.92 (USD) 0
$233.87 (USD) 0
$291.35 (USD) 0
$233.66 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 33.53
PB Ratio 5.57
PS Ratio 2.71
PCF Ratio 28.86
EV to EBITDA 17.68

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  AYI:NYS for the last 10 years was  5.37

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  AYI:NYS and generated a book value of  $42.93 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $230.45 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 3 analysts that provide a valuation for AYI:NYS. The 3 analysts have a concensus valuation for AYI:NYS for 2019 of $131.67 (USD).

AYI:NYS Acuity Brands

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
2 2 1 3.4000 Hold 2018-10-25

Current Price: 118.48 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2019 2020 2021
Mean EPS 9.37 10.88 11.90
# EPS Analysts 4 3 1
Mean Revenue 3,847.10 4,113.80 4,290.80
# Revenue Analysts 4 3 1
Mean Target Price 131.67
Mean Cash Flow 11.08 12.17 12.29
Mean EBITDA 602.90 664.40 718.90
Mean Net Income 376.10 432.10 470.30
Mean Debt Outstanding -30.50 -258.20 -3.20
Mean Tax Rate 24.67 25.00
Mean Growth Rate 10.00
Mean Capital Expenditure 58.20 61.10 64.40

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

Notice to User


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