OSI Systems (OSIS:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

OSI Systems(OSIS:NAS)

Technology:Electronic Components

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$72.18 (USD) 02/11/2018

Weighted Valuation
$81.16 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 12.4%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $89.00 (USD)
(in order of importance) Discounted Cash Flow: $76.41 (USD)
Comparables: $67.16 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Undervalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Fairly valued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (OSIS:NAS USD)

Price 72.18
Range 69.93 – 72.48
52 week 54.60 – 90.75
Open 70.15
Vol / Avg. 146674/119955
Mkt cap 1.31B
P/E 0.00
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS -1.57
Shares 18.15M
Beta 0.97

Company Description

OSI Systems Inc. is a designer and manufacturer of electronic systems and components for businesses in the homeland security, healthcare, defense, and aerospace markets. The firm is organized in three business segments: Security, which provides security and inspection systems; Healthcare, which provides patient monitoring, diagnostic, cardiology, ventilation systems and defibrillators; and Optoelectronics and Manufacturing, which provides specialized electronic components and manufacturing services for the Security and Healthcare segments and external original equipment manufacturers. A majority of the firm’s revenue is generated in North America, and the rest from Europe, Middle East and Africa, and Asia Pacific regions.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for OSIS:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $76.41 (USD) for OSIS:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

OSIS:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $76.41 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 10.79 $90.75 $65.33
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $66.57 $89.13
Tax Rate 0.02 $82.60 $70.38
Cash Flow 208,181,766 $69.87 $82.94
Capital Expenditures -29,573,200 $75.65 $77.17
Long Term Debt 347,304,000 $77.36 $75.45

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $131.71 (USD) for OSIS:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $67.16 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Advanced Energy Indus (AEIS:NAS), AVX (AVX:NYS), Belden (BDC:NYS), Rogers (ROG:NYS) and Vicor (VICR:NAS).

Company OSIS:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($1.59) (USD)
Book Value/Share $26.84 (USD)
Sales/Share $59.63 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $5.17 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $8.72 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$0.00 (USD) 2.4
$94.67 (USD) 5.6
$161.57 (USD) 9.7
$126.49 (USD) -17.2
$140.40 (USD) 6.5
OSIS:NAS Ratios Used Average Values AEIS:NAS AVX:NYS BDC:NYS ROG:NYS VICR:NAS
0.00 PE Ratio 57.49 17.14 98.12 80.67 30.24 61.30
2.58 PB Ratio 3.53 2.76 1.26 1.63 2.81 9.18
1.16 PS Ratio 2.71 2.30 1.67 0.91 2.71 5.96
13.38 PCF Ratio 28.30 10.44 12.28 11.88 23.57 83.36
10.29 EV to EBITDA 16.10 5.91 7.19 9.21 14.14 44.05

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $87.05 (USD) for OSIS:NAS

Company OSIS:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($1.59) (USD)
Book Value/Share $26.84 (USD)
Sales/Share $59.63 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $5.17 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $8.72 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$0.00 (USD) 0
$68.89 (USD) 0
$92.26 (USD) 0
$87.61 (USD) 0
$99.43 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 34.43
PB Ratio 2.57
PS Ratio 1.55
PCF Ratio 16.95
EV to EBITDA 11.40

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  OSIS:NAS for the last 10 years was  2.55

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  OSIS:NAS and generated a book value of  $27.02 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $68.81 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for OSIS:NAS. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for OSIS:NAS for 2019 of $89.00 (USD).

OSIS:NAS OSI Systems

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
1 0 0 5.0000 Buy 2018-11-1

Current Price: 72.18 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2019
Mean EPS 3.70
# EPS Analysts 1
Mean Revenue 1,145.20
# Revenue Analysts 1
Mean Target Price 89.00
Mean Cash Flow
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income 73.20
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate 24.50
Mean Growth Rate 18.00
Mean Capital Expenditure

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

Notice to User


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