Viacom (VIAB:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Viacom(VIAB:NAS)

Consumer Cyclical:Media-Diversified

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$32.06 (USD) 28/11/2018

Weighted Valuation
$34.57 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 7.8%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $34.57 (USD)
(in order of importance)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Undervalued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (VIAB:NAS USD)

Price 0.00
Range 0.00 – 0.00
52 week 0.00 – 0.00
Open 0.00
Vol / Avg. 0/0
Mkt cap 0
P/E 0.00
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS 0.00
Shares 0
Beta 0.00

Company Description

Viacom is a global media company with several leading cable network properties, including Nickelodeon, MTV, BET, Comedy Central, VH1, Country Music Television, and Spike TV. Viacom has also built several online properties on the strength of these brands. Viacom’s Paramount Pictures produces original motion pictures and owns a library of 2,500 films, including the Godfather and Transformers series. Viacom was spun out of CBS at the end of 2005.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for VIAB:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of ($113.12) (USD) for VIAB:NAS

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $57.61 (USD) for VIAB:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $65.42 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were AMC Networks (AMCX:NAS), CBS (CBS:NYS), Discovery (DISCB:NAS), Live Nation Entertainment (LYV:NYS) and World Wrestling Enter (WWE:NYS).

Company VIAB:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $4.27 (USD)
Book Value/Share $17.39 (USD)
Sales/Share $31.72 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $5.00 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $19.34 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$50.14 (USD) -68.7
$124.04 (USD) -15.0
$83.80 (USD) -37.8
$82.08 (USD) -58.7
$0.00 (USD) -64.4
VIAB:NAS Ratios Used Average Values AMCX:NAS CBS:NYS DISCB:NAS LYV:NYS WWE:NYS
6.51 PE Ratio 41.44 7.29 16.20 0.00 0.00 100.82
1.84 PB Ratio 12.33 19.96 9.91 2.07 9.42 20.28
1.01 PS Ratio 2.64 1.26 1.57 2.23 1.00 7.15
6.40 PCF Ratio 21.42 7.26 22.66 10.15 31.92 35.10
2.93 EV to EBITDA 17.53 3.26 11.59 12.01 19.37 41.41

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $51.08 (USD) for VIAB:NAS

Company VIAB:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $4.27 (USD)
Book Value/Share $17.39 (USD)
Sales/Share $31.72 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $5.00 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $19.34 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$39.59 (USD) 0
$65.43 (USD) 0
$37.41 (USD) 0
$44.24 (USD) 0
$68.73 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 9.27
PB Ratio 3.76
PS Ratio 1.18
PCF Ratio 8.85
EV to EBITDA 3.55

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  VIAB:NAS for the last 10 years was  3.50

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  VIAB:NAS and generated a book value of  $18.38 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $64.26 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 7 analysts that provide a valuation for VIAB:NAS. The 7 analysts have a concensus valuation for VIAB:NAS for 2019 of $34.57 (USD).

VIAB:NAS Viacom

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
2 8 1 3.1818 Hold 2018-11-27

Current Price: 32.06 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2019 2020 2021
Mean EPS 4.31 4.39 4.68
# EPS Analysts 11 9 5
Mean Revenue 13,259.80 13,543.10 13,909.80
# Revenue Analysts 8 7 5
Mean Target Price 34.57
Mean Cash Flow 4.81 5.04 5.07
Mean EBITDA 3,071.70 3,154.90 3,248.10
Mean Net Income 1,897.00 1,779.10 1,893.80
Mean Debt Outstanding 7,202.90 5,650.10 3,912.00
Mean Tax Rate 24.00 24.00 24.00
Mean Growth Rate 5.16
Mean Capital Expenditure 196.60 199.70 212.40

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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