Box (BOX:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report


Fundamental Valuation Report

Box(BOX:NYS)

Technology:Software-Infrastructure

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$19.07 (USD) 22/03/2019

Weighted Valuation
$20.60 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 8.0%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $23.20 (USD)
(in order of importance) Comparables: $17.01 (USD)
Multiples: $19.96 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (BOX:NYS USD)

Price 19.07
Range 19.03 – 19.85
52 week 15.76 – 29.01
Open 19.79
Vol / Avg. 2M/3.57M
Mkt cap 2.75B
P/E 0.00
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS -0.95
Shares 144.33M
Beta 0.00

Company Description

Box Inc is an enterprise content management platform that enables organizations to access and share content from anywhere in a secure and convenient manner. The Box platform includes cloud architecture, mobility features, enterprise-grade security, tracking and reporting, and automation and workflow management capabilities. The company derives revenue from subscription fees for its cloud platform, its support package, and professional services. A large majority of the firm’s revenue is generated in the United States.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for BOX:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $3.63 (USD) for BOX:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

BOX:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $3.63 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 13.18 $4.08 $3.26
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $3.32 $4.00
Tax Rate 0.01 $3.82 $3.46
Cash Flow 75,192,972 $3.40 $3.86
Capital Expenditures -30,587,400 $3.56 $3.70
Long Term Debt 58,824,000 $3.65 $3.61

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $20.61 (USD) for BOX:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $17.01 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Carbonite (CARB:NAS), CSG Systems International (CSGS:NAS), j2 Global (JCOM:NAS), LivePerson (LPSN:NAS) and Q2 Holdings (QTWO:NYS).

Company BOX:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($0.95) (USD)
Book Value/Share $0.22 (USD)
Sales/Share $4.30 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $0.39 (USD)
EBITDA/Share ($0.62) (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$0.00 (USD) 0.0
$1.75 (USD) 0.0
$22.80 (USD) 0.0
$36.47 (USD) 0.0
$0.00 (USD) 0.0
BOX:NYS Ratios Used Average Values CARB:NAS CSGS:NAS JCOM:NAS LPSN:NAS QTWO:NYS
0.00 PE Ratio 53.09 105.77 20.67 32.82 0.00 0.00
93.02 PB Ratio 8.05 3.11 3.80 4.00 10.47 18.88
4.70 PS Ratio 5.30 2.64 1.56 3.45 6.63 12.22
51.72 PCF Ratio 204.37 14.62 9.52 10.36 346.38 640.98
0.00 EV to EBITDA 11.99 15.14 9.22 11.60 0.00 0.00

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $19.96 (USD) for BOX:NYS

Company BOX:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($0.95) (USD)
Book Value/Share $0.22 (USD)
Sales/Share $4.30 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $0.39 (USD)
EBITDA/Share ($0.62) (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$0.00 (USD) 0
$3.75 (USD) 0
$23.33 (USD) 0
$32.79 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 0.00
PB Ratio 17.21
PS Ratio 5.42
PCF Ratio 83.78
EV to EBITDA 0.00

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  BOX:NYS for the last 3 years was  17.21

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  BOX:NYS and generated a book value of  $0.22 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $3.75 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 5 analysts that provide a valuation for BOX:NYS. The 5 analysts have a concensus valuation for BOX:NYS for 2020 of $23.20 (USD).

BOX:NYS Box

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
4 1 0 4.6000 Buy 2019-3-21

Current Price: 19.07 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2020 2021
Mean EPS -0.01 0.13
# EPS Analysts 5 4
Mean Revenue 708.40 801.80
# Revenue Analysts 5 4
Mean Target Price 23.20
Mean Cash Flow 0.61 0.79
Mean EBITDA 59.20
Mean Net Income -1.70 21.00
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate 53.00 22.00
Mean Growth Rate 8.00
Mean Capital Expenditure 21.30

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).
The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.
We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.
Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.
With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.
If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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