Absolute Software (ABT:TSE) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Absolute Software(ABT:TSE)

Technology:Software – Application

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$11.33 (USD) / $14.80 (CAD) 09/04/2020

Weighted Valuation
$12.38 (USD) / $16.17 (CAD)

Use a conversion rate of 1.30579 from USD to CAD.

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 9.2%

Valuation Models Comparables: $13.96 (USD) / $18.23 (CAD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $22.63 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (ABT:TSE CAD)

Price 14.80
Range 14.56 – 15.90
52 week 7.19 – 16.75
Open 15.90
Vol / Avg. 275206/163594
Mkt cap 628.62M
P/E 46.93
Div/yield 0.24/0.02
EPS 0.24
Shares 42.54M
Beta 1.06

Company Description

Absolute Software Corp is engaged in the development, marketing, and provision of a cloud-based endpoint visibility and control platform that provides management and security of computing devices. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the United States and also has a presence in Canada and the Rest of world. It serves Education; Healthcare; Government; Professional Services and Financial Services. The company principally derives its revenues from two sources: subscription and support revenues.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for ABT:TSE

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $6.56 (USD) / $8.56 (CAD) for ABT:TSE

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

ABT:TSE Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $6.56 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 7.37 $8.25 $5.43
Terminal Growth Rate 2.40 $5.51 $8.13
Tax Rate 0.30 $7.31 $5.80
Cash Flow 37,106,593 $5.99 $7.12
Capital Expenditures -3,500,218 $6.50 $6.61
Long Term Debt 0 $6.56 $6.56

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $15.71 (USD) / $20.52 (CAD) for ABT:TSE. We also generated a valuation of $13.96 (USD) / $18.23 (CAD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Computer Modelling Group (CMG:TSE), Enghouse Systems (ENGH:TSE), Tecsys (TCS:TSE), Sylogist (SYZ:TSX) and Patriot One Technologies (PAT:TSE).

Company ABT:TSE End Date Value
Earnings/Share $0.24 (USD) / $0.31 (CAD)
Book Value/Share ($1.02) (USD) / ($1.33) (CAD)
Sales/Share $2.35 (USD) / $3.07 (CAD)
Cash Flow/Share $0.56 (USD) / $0.73 (CAD)
EBITDA/Share $0.47 (USD) / $0.62 (CAD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$21.61 (USD) / $28.22 (CAD) 33.4
$0.00 (USD) / $0.00 (CAD) 0.0
$14.67 (USD) / $19.16 (CAD) -39.0
$16.66 (USD) / $21.76 (CAD) -8.8
$14.03 (USD) / $18.31 (CAD) -29.6
ABT:TSE Ratios Used Average Values CMG:TSE ENGH:TSE TCS:TSE SYZ:TSX PAT:TSE
46.93 PE Ratio 90.06 19.19 49.12 154.44 137.50 0.00
0.00 PB Ratio 6.59 11.00 8.98 6.56 4.84 1.56
4.81 PS Ratio 17.31 5.61 8.79 3.47 7.06 61.63
20.19 PCF Ratio 29.99 13.52 35.95 36.40 34.11 0.00
21.01 EV to EBITDA 29.64 11.02 26.71 46.88 33.95 0.00

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $8.34 (USD) / $10.89 (CAD) for ABT:TSE

Company ABT:TSE End Date Value
Earnings/Share $0.24 (USD) / $0.31 (CAD)
Book Value/Share ($1.02) (USD) / ($1.33) (CAD)
Sales/Share $2.35 (USD) / $3.07 (CAD)
Cash Flow/Share $0.56 (USD) / $0.73 (CAD)
EBITDA/Share $0.47 (USD) / $0.62 (CAD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$7.79 (USD) / $10.17 (CAD) 0
$0.00 (USD) / $0.00 (CAD) 0
$6.05 (USD) / $7.90 (CAD) 0
$12.80 (USD) / $16.72 (CAD) 0
$6.71 (USD) / $8.76 (CAD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 32.47
PB Ratio 0.00
PS Ratio 2.57
PCF Ratio 22.81
EV to EBITDA 14.18

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  ABT:TSE for the last 10 years was  0.00

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  ABT:TSE and generated a book value of  ($1.01) (USD) / ($1.32) (CAD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $0.00 (USD) / $0.00 (CAD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 6 analysts that provide a valuation for ABT:TSE. The 6 analysts have a concensus valuation for ABT:TSE for 2021 of $17.33 (USD) / $22.63 (CAD).

ABT:TSE Absolute Software

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
2 3 0 3.8333 Outperform 2020-9-3

Current Price: 14.8 CAD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2021 2022
Mean EPS 0.40 0.44
# EPS Analysts 6 6
Mean Revenue 151.50 164.50
# Revenue Analysts 6 6
Mean Target Price 17.33
Mean Cash Flow 0.77 0.72
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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