Qurate Retail (QRTEB:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Qurate Retail (QRTEB:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Qurate Retail(QRTEB:NAS)

Consumer Cyclical:Internet Retail

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$12.12 (USD) 03/30/2021

Weighted Valuation
$12.86 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 6.1%

Valuation Models Adjusted Book Value: $12.86 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Undervalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Undervalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $14.00 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (QRTEB:NAS USD)

Price 12.12
Range 12.12 – 12.12
52 week 5.50 – 16.40
Open 12.12
Vol / Avg. 270/2798
Mkt cap 4.95B
P/E 4.24
Div/yield 3.00/0.00
EPS 2.86
Shares 410.41M
Beta 2.11

Company Description

Qurate Retail Inc through its subsidiaries is engaged in the video and online commerce industries. Its segments include QxH – QVC U.S. and HSN markets and sells a wide variety of consumer products using its televised shopping programs and via the Internet through their websites and mobile applications, which generates most of its revenue & QVC International and Zulily. Its retail brands include QVC, HSN, Zulily, Ballard Designs, Frontgate, Garnet Hill, Grandin Road, and RyllaceTM, all dedicated to providing a Third Way to Shop, beyond transactional eCommerce or traditional brick-and-mortar stores. It also involved in mobile commerce and social commerce. It operates in North America, Europe and Asia.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for QRTEB:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $57.58 (USD) for QRTEB:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

QRTEB:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $57.58 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 6.93 $75.89 $45.35
Terminal Growth Rate 1.90 $46.49 $74.18
Tax Rate 0.27 $62.59 $52.57
Cash Flow 2,344,515,200 $53.67 $61.49
Capital Expenditures -201,400,000 $57.26 $57.90
Long Term Debt 6,452,000,000 $58.37 $56.80

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $16.64 (USD) for QRTEB:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $29.37 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Etsy (ETSY:NAS), Wayfair (W:NYS), Overstock.com (OSTK:NAS), ThredUp (TDUP:NAS) and Poshmark (POSH:NAS).

Company QRTEB:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $2.86 (USD)
Book Value/Share $8.77 (USD)
Sales/Share $33.67 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $5.83 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $4.80 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$0.00 (USD) -66.3
$0.00 (USD) -73.9
$55.38 (USD) -68.9
$0.00 (USD) -80.7
$0.00 (USD) -62.5
QRTEB:NAS Ratios Used Average Values ETSY:NAS W:NYS OSTK:NAS TDUP:NAS POSH:NAS
4.24 PE Ratio 249.19 73.93 170.44 52.52 0.00 699.85
1.38 PB Ratio 39.77 33.76 0.00 7.49 78.05 0.00
0.36 PS Ratio 7.81 15.72 2.23 1.06 9.19 10.87
2.08 PCF Ratio 27.44 39.96 22.23 13.79 0.00 33.77
5.48 EV to EBITDA 59.53 52.61 53.14 29.40 0.00 102.95

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $17.63 (USD) for QRTEB:NAS

Company QRTEB:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $2.86 (USD)
Book Value/Share $8.77 (USD)
Sales/Share $33.67 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $5.83 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $4.80 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$19.55 (USD) 0
$11.94 (USD) 0
$11.56 (USD) 0
$13.90 (USD) 0
$31.21 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 6.84
PB Ratio 1.36
PS Ratio 0.34
PCF Ratio 2.38
EV to EBITDA 6.50

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  QRTEB:NAS for the last 10 years was  1.47

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  QRTEB:NAS and generated a book value of  $8.74 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $12.86 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for QRTEB:NAS. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for QRTEB:NAS for 2021 of $14.00 (USD).

QRTEB:NAS Qurate Retail

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
0 1 0 3.0000 Hold 2021-3-29

Current Price: 12.118 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2021 2022 2023
Mean EPS 1.54 1.75 1.90
# EPS Analysts 1 1 1
Mean Revenue 14,089.70 14,334.20 14,621.10
# Revenue Analysts 1 1 1
Mean Target Price 14.00
Mean Cash Flow 2.92 3.13 3.24
Mean EBITDA 2,153.80 2,227.00 2,300.80
Mean Net Income 638.20 706.50 778.60
Mean Debt Outstanding 5,355.80 4,243.20 3,063.50
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure 290.20 295.30 301.20

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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