Asana (ASAN:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Asana (ASAN:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Asana(ASAN:NYS)

Technology:Software – Application

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$33.46 (USD) 04/06/2021

Weighted Valuation
$33.46 (USD)

Overall Rating
Fairly valued to slightly Overvalued by 0.0%

Valuation Models Comparables: $29.87 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $35.50 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (ASAN:NYS USD)

Price 33.46
Range 31.68 – 33.66
52 week 21.31 – 41.49
Open 32.00
Vol / Avg. 950853/1.81M
Mkt cap 5.02B
P/E 0.00
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS -1.99
Shares 163.05M
Beta 0.00

Company Description

Asana Inc is a software company. The company provides platform for work management that helps teams orchestrate work, from daily tasks to cross-functional strategic initiatives. It helps plan marketing campaigns, streamline processes, manage sales, and manage product launches. Also, the company provides project management and workflow management solutions.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for ASAN:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of ($5.70) (USD) for ASAN:NYS

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $22.63 (USD) for ASAN:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $29.87 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Everbridge (EVBG:NAS), AppFolio (APPF:NAS), Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM:NAS), Rapid7 (RPD:NAS) and CDK Global (CDK:NAS).

Company ASAN:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($1.99) (USD)
Book Value/Share ($0.08) (USD)
Sales/Share $2.13 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share ($0.87) (USD)
EBITDA/Share ($1.60) (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$0.00 (USD) 0.0
$0.00 (USD) 0.0
$22.63 (USD) 0.0
($5.51) (USD) 0.0
$0.00 (USD) 0.0
ASAN:NYS Ratios Used Average Values EVBG:NAS APPF:NAS ALRM:NAS RPD:NAS CDK:NAS
0.00 PE Ratio 37.72 0.00 32.16 57.33 0.00 23.68
0.00 PB Ratio 25.76 18.98 17.21 9.30 57.57 0.00
15.67 PS Ratio 10.60 16.24 16.45 7.23 9.69 3.39
0.00 PCF Ratio 252.43 278.68 105.58 43.79 816.26 17.85
0.00 EV to EBITDA 57.24 0.00 118.97 38.27 0.00 14.48

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $45.84 (USD) for ASAN:NYS

Company ASAN:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($1.99) (USD)
Book Value/Share ($0.08) (USD)
Sales/Share $2.13 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share ($0.87) (USD)
EBITDA/Share ($1.60) (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$0.00 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
$45.84 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 0.00
PB Ratio 153.65
PS Ratio 21.47
PCF Ratio 0.00
EV to EBITDA 0.00

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  ASAN:NYS for the last 1 years was  153.65

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  ASAN:NYS and generated a book value of  ($0.08) (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  ($12.17) (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 4 analysts that provide a valuation for ASAN:NYS. The 4 analysts have a concensus valuation for ASAN:NYS for 2022 of $35.50 (USD).

ASAN:NYS Asana

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
2 1 1 3.5000 Hold 2021-4-5

Current Price: 33.46 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2022 2023
Mean EPS -1.07 -0.94
# EPS Analysts 4 3
Mean Revenue 311.80 401.60
# Revenue Analysts 3 3
Mean Target Price 35.50
Mean Cash Flow -0.52 -0.45
Mean EBITDA -138.70 -101.70
Mean Net Income -172.20 -160.30
Mean Debt Outstanding 29.50 29.50
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure 47.90 8.10

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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