BlackRock (BLK:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

BlackRock (BLK:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

BlackRock(BLK:NYS)

Financial Services:Asset Management

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$811.45 (USD) 04/16/2021

Weighted Valuation
$776.26 (USD)

Overall Rating
Fairly valued to slightly Overvalued by 4.3%

Valuation Models Discounted Cash Flow: $816.71 (USD)
Multiples: $607.56 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Fairly valued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $904.50 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (BLK:NYS USD)

Price 811.45
Range 805.52 – 825.52
52 week 454.44 – 817.84
Open 823.82
Vol / Avg. 773424/569408
Mkt cap 123.86B
P/E 23.54
Div/yield 14.52/0.02
EPS 31.85
Shares 152.64M
Beta 1.15

Company Description

BlackRock is one of the largest asset managers in the world, with $9.007 trillion in AUM at the end of March 2021. Product mix is fairly diverse, with 53% of the firm’s managed assets in equity strategies, 28% in fixed income, 8% in multi-asset class, 8% in money market funds, and 3% in alternatives. Passive strategies account for around two thirds of long-term AUM, with the company’s iShares ETF platform maintaining a leading market share domestically and on a global basis. Product distribution is weighted more toward institutional clients, which by our calculations account for around 80% of AUM. BlackRock is also geographically diverse, with clients in more than 100 countries and more than one third of managed assets coming from investors domiciled outside the U.S. and Canada.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for BLK:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $816.71 (USD) for BLK:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

BLK:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $816.71 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 7.51 $1,030.71 $674.02
Terminal Growth Rate 2.50 $686.61 $1,011.78
Tax Rate 0.20 $872.54 $760.88
Cash Flow 9,398,675,930 $771.45 $861.98
Capital Expenditures -185,200,000 $815.88 $817.55
Long Term Debt 4,961,000,000 $818.34 $815.09

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $440.69 (USD) for BLK:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $353.71 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were KKR & Co (KKR:NYS), Blackstone Group (BX:NYS), T. Rowe Price Gr (TROW:NAS), State Street (STT:NYS) and Northern Trust (NTRS:NAS).

Company BLK:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $34.47 (USD)
Book Value/Share $231.15 (USD)
Sales/Share $109.47 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $24.26 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $45.93 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$822.60 (USD) -15.7
$899.14 (USD) -38.5
$660.25 (USD) -60.0
$376.67 (USD) -86.0
$504.64 (USD) 38.5
BLK:NYS Ratios Used Average Values KKR:NYS BX:NYS TROW:NAS STT:NYS NTRS:NAS
23.54 PE Ratio 23.86 15.82 52.85 17.82 13.25 19.58
3.51 PB Ratio 3.89 2.54 8.39 5.25 1.22 2.06
7.41 PS Ratio 6.03 7.35 9.27 6.62 2.73 4.19
33.45 PCF Ratio 17.47 0.00 28.55 21.42 8.12 11.78
15.64 EV to EBITDA 10.99 8.88 0.00 13.10 0.00 0.00

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $607.56 (USD) for BLK:NYS

Company BLK:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $34.47 (USD)
Book Value/Share $231.15 (USD)
Sales/Share $109.47 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $24.26 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $45.93 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$649.04 (USD) 0
$540.39 (USD) 0
$625.31 (USD) 0
$620.76 (USD) 0
$602.29 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 18.83
PB Ratio 2.34
PS Ratio 5.71
PCF Ratio 25.59
EV to EBITDA 13.11

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  BLK:NYS for the last 10 years was  2.23

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  BLK:NYS and generated a book value of  $231.31 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $514.96 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 2 analysts that provide a valuation for BLK:NYS. The 2 analysts have a concensus valuation for BLK:NYS for 2021 of $904.50 (USD).

BLK:NYS BlackRock

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
3 1 0 4.5000 Outperform 2021-4-15

Current Price: 811.45 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2021 2022 2023
Mean EPS 36.84 41.35 46.61
# EPS Analysts 4 4 2
Mean Revenue 18,269.60 19,754.90 21,311.00
# Revenue Analysts 3 3 2
Mean Target Price 904.50
Mean Cash Flow 44.67 49.64 54.47
Mean EBITDA 7,633.30 8,499.90
Mean Net Income 5,639.10 6,308.80 7,067.40
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate 7.66
Mean Capital Expenditure 206.20 197.90

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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