Jamieson Wellness (JWEL:TSE) Fundamental Valuation Report

Jamieson Wellness (JWEL:TSE) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Jamieson Wellness(JWEL:TSE)

Consumer Defensive:Packaged Foods

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$38.64 (CAD) 05/04/2021

Weighted Valuation
$37.84 (CAD)

Overall Rating
Fairly valued to slightly Overvalued by 2.1%

Valuation Models Adjusted Book Value: $29.93 (CAD)
Multiples: $34.42 (CAD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $44.25 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (JWEL:TSE CAD)

Price 38.64
Range 38.43 – 39.05
52 week 31.28 – 43.21
Open 39.01
Vol / Avg. 42150/56852
Mkt cap 1.54B
P/E 38.26
Div/yield 0.47/0.01
EPS 1.01
Shares 39.87M
Beta 0.00

Company Description

Jamieson Wellness Inc is engaged in the manufacturing, distributing, and marketing of branded natural health products, including vitamins, minerals, and supplements. The company operates in two segments: The Jamieson brands and The Strategic Partners. The majority of its revenue comes from the Jamieson brand segment. Some of its brands are Jamieson, Progressive, Precision, and Iron Vegan. Geographically, most of its revenue is derived from the domestic market.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for JWEL:TSE

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $21.56 (CAD) for JWEL:TSE

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

JWEL:TSE Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $21.56 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 5.52 $26.98 $17.94
Terminal Growth Rate 0.50 $18.23 $26.54
Tax Rate 0.27 $23.53 $19.59
Cash Flow 86,681,558 $20.01 $23.11
Capital Expenditures -8,127,400 $21.42 $21.69
Long Term Debt 0 $21.56 $21.56

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $22.14 (CAD) for JWEL:TSE. We also generated a valuation of $27.65 (CAD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Else Nutrition Holdings (BABY:TSX), Premium Brands Holdings (PBH:TSE), Burcon NutraScience (BU:TSE), Maple Leaf Foods (MFI:TSE) and High Liner Foods (HLF:TSE).

Company JWEL:TSE End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.01 (CAD)
Book Value/Share $7.33 (CAD)
Sales/Share $9.81 (CAD)
Cash Flow/Share $0.99 (CAD)
EBITDA/Share $1.83 (CAD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$33.83 (CAD) 0.0
$35.95 (CAD) 0.0
$7.95 (CAD) 0.0
$8.00 (CAD) 0.0
$24.98 (CAD) 0.0
JWEL:TSE Ratios Used Average Values BABY:TSX PBH:TSE BU:TSE MFI:TSE HLF:TSE
38.26 PE Ratio 33.49 0.00 56.62 0.00 30.55 13.31
5.27 PB Ratio 28.51 122.96 3.31 13.26 1.77 1.27
3.94 PS Ratio 7506.69 204.06 1.17 37326.96 0.80 0.46
39.18 PCF Ratio 11.78 0.00 20.89 0.00 10.75 3.70
22.43 EV to EBITDA 99.93 0.00 21.44 358.77 11.35 8.18

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $34.42 (CAD) for JWEL:TSE

Company JWEL:TSE End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.01 (CAD)
Book Value/Share $7.33 (CAD)
Sales/Share $9.81 (CAD)
Cash Flow/Share $0.99 (CAD)
EBITDA/Share $1.83 (CAD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$34.03 (CAD) 0
$29.93 (CAD) 0
$27.85 (CAD) 0
$40.41 (CAD) 0
$39.90 (CAD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 33.69
PB Ratio 4.08
PS Ratio 2.84
PCF Ratio 40.97
EV to EBITDA 21.81

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  JWEL:TSE for the last 4 years was  4.08

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  JWEL:TSE and generated a book value of  $7.33 (CAD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $29.93 (CAD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 7 analysts that provide a valuation for JWEL:TSE. The 7 analysts have a concensus valuation for JWEL:TSE for 2021 of $44.25 (CAD).

JWEL:TSE Jamieson Wellness

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
6 1 0 4.7143 Buy 2021-5-3

Current Price: 38.64 CAD

Analyst Consensus
CAD Millions 2021 2022
Mean EPS 1.29 1.46
# EPS Analysts 7 7
Mean Revenue 434.50 467.60
# Revenue Analysts 7 7
Mean Target Price 44.25
Mean Cash Flow 1.09 1.25
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

Notice to User


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