Gibraltar Industries (ROCK:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Gibraltar Industries (ROCK:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Gibraltar Industries(ROCK:NAS)

Industrials:Building Products & Equipment

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$77.30 (USD) 05/12/2021

Weighted Valuation
$79.72 (USD)

Overall Rating
Fairly valued to slightly Undervalued by 3.1%

Valuation Models Comparables: $80.66 (USD)
Discounted Cash Flow: $58.51 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $100.00 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (ROCK:NAS USD)

Price 77.30
Range 76.78 – 80.60
52 week 39.22 – 100.98
Open 80.60
Vol / Avg. 166772/146895
Mkt cap 2.52B
P/E 30.31
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS 1.96
Shares 32.63M
Beta 1.07

Company Description

Gibraltar Industries Inc has three operating segments that use steel, aluminum, and resin to manufacture building products. The residential products segment makes a wide range of products for new residential construction and home repair. It sells to retail home centers, wholesalers, and contractors. The infrastructure products segment primarily manufactures metal products that it sells directly to contractors and industrial fabricators for use in highway and bridge construction and power generation. Renewable Energy and Conservation primarily designs and provides fully engineered solar racking systems and greenhouse structures. Most of the company’s manufacturing facilities and distribution centers are in North America and Europe, where Gibraltar generates most of its revenue.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for ROCK:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $58.51 (USD) for ROCK:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

ROCK:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $58.51 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 8.45 $73.04 $48.49
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $49.47 $71.62
Tax Rate 0.23 $62.82 $54.21
Cash Flow 172,191,039 $55.07 $61.96
Capital Expenditures -8,301,200 $58.36 $58.67
Long Term Debt 209,441,000 $58.84 $58.19

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $38.24 (USD) for ROCK:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $80.66 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Forterra (FRTA:NAS), GMS (GMS:NYS), Installed Building Prods (IBP:NYS), Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS:NYS) and JELD-WEN Holding (JELD:NYS).

Company ROCK:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.98 (USD)
Book Value/Share $23.24 (USD)
Sales/Share $33.51 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $3.91 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $3.92 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$71.82 (USD) -12.6
$152.03 (USD) -71.3
$55.29 (USD) -31.4
$41.58 (USD) -26.3
$52.42 (USD) -71.8
ROCK:NAS Ratios Used Average Values FRTA:NAS GMS:NYS IBP:NYS WMS:NYS JELD:NYS
30.31 PE Ratio 36.27 16.26 63.00 34.91 43.76 23.44
3.33 PB Ratio 6.54 7.24 2.45 10.11 10.14 2.77
2.31 PS Ratio 1.65 0.99 0.60 2.03 4.00 0.63
19.78 PCF Ratio 11.50 6.60 7.93 18.82 16.65 7.51
19.39 EV to EBITDA 13.36 9.72 12.68 15.18 18.01 11.20

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $51.55 (USD) for ROCK:NAS

Company ROCK:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.98 (USD)
Book Value/Share $23.24 (USD)
Sales/Share $33.51 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $3.91 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $3.92 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$55.53 (USD) 0
$55.44 (USD) 0
$43.06 (USD) 0
$52.56 (USD) 0
$51.18 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 28.05
PB Ratio 2.39
PS Ratio 1.29
PCF Ratio 13.45
EV to EBITDA 13.04

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  ROCK:NAS for the last 10 years was  2.24

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  ROCK:NAS and generated a book value of  $23.31 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $52.21 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for ROCK:NAS. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for ROCK:NAS for 2021 of $100.00 (USD).

ROCK:NAS Gibraltar Industries

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
1 0 0 5.0000 Buy 2021-5-11

Current Price: 77.3 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2021 2022
Mean EPS 3.45 3.96
# EPS Analysts 1 1
Mean Revenue 1,328.80 1,407.10
# Revenue Analysts 1 1
Mean Target Price 100.00
Mean Cash Flow 3.61 5.73
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income 113.80 130.90
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate 27.00 27.00
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure 22.00 26.30

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

Notice to User


The contents of this report and the Stockcalc website are provided on an ‘‘as is’’ or ‘‘as available’’ basis with all faults and may not be current in all cases. The information in this report or on the website is subject to continuous change and Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. assumes no responsibility to update or amend such information or that the information will be current. Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. does not claim that all information, calculations or opinions presented in this report or on its website are true, reliable, or complete. Accordingly, you should not rely on any of the information as authoritative or as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making an investment or other decision. Any information, data, opinions, calculations or recommendations provided by third parties through links to other websites or otherwise made available through this report or website are solely those of the third party and not of Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. Please refer to the Terms of Use on stockcalc.com for further information.
To access all of the tools on Stockcalc, including more detailed valuation reports and the models used to generate these valuations, please subscribe for a free 30 day trial of Stockcalc here.