Virtu Financial (VIRT:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Virtu Financial (VIRT:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Virtu Financial(VIRT:NAS)

Financial Services:Capital Markets

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$29.00 (USD) 05/21/2021

Weighted Valuation
$31.67 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 9.2%

Valuation Models Comparables: $48.58 (USD)
Adjusted Book Value: $36.50 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Undervalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Undervalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $31.67 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (VIRT:NAS USD)

Price 29.00
Range 28.70 – 29.30
52 week 21.38 – 32.19
Open 29.16
Vol / Avg. 835991/1.53M
Mkt cap 5.5B
P/E 5.52
Div/yield 0.96/0.03
EPS 5.16
Shares 189.78M
Beta -0.29

Company Description

Virtu Financial Inc is a leading technology-enabled market maker and liquidity provider to the global financial markets. The company’s operating segment includes Market Making; Execution Services and Corporate. It generates maximum revenue from the Market Making segment. The Market Making segment principally consists of market making in the cash, futures and options markets across global equities, options, fixed income, currencies, and commodities. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the United States and also has a presence in Ireland; Singapore; Canada; Australia and Other Countries.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for VIRT:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $71.39 (USD) for VIRT:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

VIRT:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $71.39 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 5.91 $89.61 $59.22
Terminal Growth Rate 0.90 $60.37 $87.89
Tax Rate 0.19 $75.85 $66.92
Cash Flow 872,885,900 $67.70 $75.07
Capital Expenditures -18,973,200 $71.31 $71.46
Long Term Debt 543,677,000 $71.53 $71.24

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $56.14 (USD) for VIRT:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $48.58 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Donnelley Financial Solns (DFIN:NYS), PJT Partners (PJT:NYS), Houlihan Lokey (HLI:NYS), Moelis & (MC:NYS) and Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA:NAS).

Company VIRT:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $5.25 (USD)
Book Value/Share $8.64 (USD)
Sales/Share $26.38 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $11.47 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $13.08 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$92.48 (USD) -32.4
$61.39 (USD) 87.1
$69.04 (USD) -83.0
$66.40 (USD) -62.4
$0.00 (USD) 40.8
VIRT:NAS Ratios Used Average Values DFIN:NYS PJT:NYS HLI:NYS MC:NYS MARA:NAS
5.52 PE Ratio 56.49 212.00 14.76 16.30 15.10 24.29
3.36 PB Ratio 7.11 3.60 18.49 3.66 6.75 3.04
1.10 PS Ratio 35.51 1.10 2.86 3.34 3.17 167.06
2.53 PCF Ratio 8.21 6.59 8.78 10.52 6.97 0.00
5.36 EV to EBITDA 12.30 10.87 9.61 10.36 10.32 20.35

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $67.65 (USD) for VIRT:NAS

Company VIRT:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $5.25 (USD)
Book Value/Share $8.64 (USD)
Sales/Share $26.38 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $11.47 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $13.08 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$101.63 (USD) 0
$40.69 (USD) 0
$32.12 (USD) 0
$46.25 (USD) 0
$117.53 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 19.36
PB Ratio 4.71
PS Ratio 1.22
PCF Ratio 4.03
EV to EBITDA 8.99

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  VIRT:NAS for the last 6 years was  4.28

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  VIRT:NAS and generated a book value of  $8.52 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $36.50 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 3 analysts that provide a valuation for VIRT:NAS. The 3 analysts have a concensus valuation for VIRT:NAS for 2021 of $31.67 (USD).

VIRT:NAS Virtu Financial

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
2 1 0 4.3333 Outperform 2021-5-20

Current Price: 29 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2021 2022 2023
Mean EPS 3.38 3.25 3.41
# EPS Analysts 2 2 1
Mean Revenue 1,797.70 1,569.50 1,633.10
# Revenue Analysts 2 2 1
Mean Target Price 31.67
Mean Cash Flow 4.57 3.54 3.81
Mean EBITDA 1,129.70 882.10 865.10
Mean Net Income 819.70 628.90 652.80
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate 19.60 19.60
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure 44.70 46.50 48.40

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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