WW International (WW:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

WW International (WW:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

WW International(WW:NAS)

Consumer Cyclical:Personal Services

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$37.66 (USD) 05/25/2021

Weighted Valuation
$31.00 (USD)

Overall Rating
Overvalued by 17.7%

Valuation Models Comparables: $31.00 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Undervalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $27.00 this stock is Overvalued

Company Overview (WW:NAS USD)

Price 37.66
Range 37.01 – 38.03
52 week 18.12 – 37.73
Open 37.65
Vol / Avg. 749490/1.75M
Mkt cap 2.62B
P/E 41.84
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS 1.07
Shares 69.52M
Beta 1.74

Company Description

WW International (formerly Weight Watchers) is a leading player in the $70 billion-plus global weight-management industry. As of December 2020, the company had 700,000 active meeting subscribers worldwide (run by over 7,000 meeting coaches) and 4.3 million active digital subscribers . The company encourages healthy weight loss through exercise, nutrition, and portion control, with aspirations of evolving into a more holistic health/wellness provider. WW also offers online 24/7 Expert Chat and personal coaching weight-management solutions, and has recently expanded into healthcare and diabetes management.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for WW:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $55.23 (USD) for WW:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

WW:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $55.23 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 9.90 $64.65 $48.19
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $49.01 $63.55
Tax Rate 0.19 $58.90 $51.56
Cash Flow 387,177,000 $52.25 $58.20
Capital Expenditures 0 $55.23 $55.23
Long Term Debt 0 $55.23 $55.23

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $31.00 (USD) for WW:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $49.66 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Terminix Global Hldgs (TMX:NYS), Franchise Group (FRG:NAS), H&R Block (HRB:NYS), Service Corp Intl (SCI:NYS) and Rollins (ROL:NYS).

Company WW:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $0.90 (USD)
Book Value/Share ($7.99) (USD)
Sales/Share $18.59 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $1.64 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $3.78 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$60.45 (USD) -44.1
$0.00 (USD) 0.0
$57.63 (USD) -28.8
$1.80 (USD) -42.6
$76.56 (USD) -34.7
WW:NAS Ratios Used Average Values TMX:NYS FRG:NAS HRB:NYS SCI:NYS ROL:NYS
41.84 PE Ratio 67.17 142.24 0.00 58.52 13.90 54.02
0.00 PB Ratio 6.81 2.36 3.19 0.00 4.75 16.93
2.03 PS Ratio 3.10 3.24 0.63 1.62 2.43 7.58
22.94 PCF Ratio 15.07 0.00 7.14 7.03 9.98 36.12
16.65 EV to EBITDA 20.23 24.40 20.94 13.43 9.44 32.96

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $28.14 (USD) for WW:NAS

Company WW:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $0.90 (USD)
Book Value/Share ($7.99) (USD)
Sales/Share $18.59 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $1.64 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $3.78 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$18.44 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
$28.17 (USD) 0
$19.26 (USD) 0
$46.70 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 20.49
PB Ratio 0.00
PS Ratio 1.52
PCF Ratio 11.73
EV to EBITDA 12.34

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  WW:NAS for the last 10 years was  0.00

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  WW:NAS and generated a book value of  ($8.06) (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $0.00 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for WW:NAS. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for WW:NAS for 2021 of $27.00 (USD).

WW:NAS WW International

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
0 2 0 3.0000 Hold 2021-5-24

Current Price: 37.66 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2021 2022 2023
Mean EPS 1.83 2.38 2.54
# EPS Analysts 2 2 2
Mean Revenue 1,406.30 1,513.60 1,574.20
# Revenue Analysts 2 2 2
Mean Target Price 27.00
Mean Cash Flow 2.97 3.51 3.75
Mean EBITDA 322.30 363.70 375.90
Mean Net Income 131.90 167.80 180.00
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate 23.69
Mean Capital Expenditure 40.60 40.30 39.90

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

Notice to User


The contents of this report and the Stockcalc website are provided on an ‘‘as is’’ or ‘‘as available’’ basis with all faults and may not be current in all cases. The information in this report or on the website is subject to continuous change and Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. assumes no responsibility to update or amend such information or that the information will be current. Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. does not claim that all information, calculations or opinions presented in this report or on its website are true, reliable, or complete. Accordingly, you should not rely on any of the information as authoritative or as a substitute for the exercise of your own skill and judgment in making an investment or other decision. Any information, data, opinions, calculations or recommendations provided by third parties through links to other websites or otherwise made available through this report or website are solely those of the third party and not of Patchell Brook Equity Analytics Inc. Please refer to the Terms of Use on stockcalc.com for further information.
To access all of the tools on Stockcalc, including more detailed valuation reports and the models used to generate these valuations, please subscribe for a free 30 day trial of Stockcalc here.