Regal Beloit (RBC:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Regal Beloit (RBC:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Regal Beloit(RBC:NYS)

Industrials:Specialty Industrial Machinery

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$142.23 (USD) 05/28/2021

Weighted Valuation
$142.77 (USD)

Overall Rating
Fairly valued to slightly Undervalued by 0.4%

Valuation Models Comparables: $142.77 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Fairly valued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $177.50 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (RBC:NYS USD)

Price 142.23
Range 140.17 – 142.61
52 week 78.81 – 153.90
Open 141.43
Vol / Avg. 253225/220401
Mkt cap 5.78B
P/E 27.78
Div/yield 1.20/0.01
EPS 4.64
Shares 40.63M
Beta 1.33

Company Description

Regal Beloit Corp manufactures electric motors, electrical motion controls, and power generation products. It offers heavy motors with several applications, including categories with variable speed controls and voltage to diversify its product line. Products for the heating, ventilation, and air conditioning market can be vital to move air at the designated temperature. The company has four operating segments: Commercial, Industrial systems (which contributes the majority of total sales), Climate solutions, and Power transmission solutions. Original-equipment manufacturers and users of motion control and industrial applications tend to combine the types of motors, controls, and power transmission products offered by Regal Beloit. The majority of sales are derived from the US.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for RBC:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $89.39 (USD) for RBC:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

RBC:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $89.39 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 8.93 $115.31 $70.97
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $72.86 $112.64
Tax Rate 0.23 $98.20 $80.59
Cash Flow 512,019,059 $81.87 $96.91
Capital Expenditures -69,580,000 $88.45 $90.34
Long Term Debt 1,510,500,000 $91.25 $87.54

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $142.77 (USD) for RBC:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $172.32 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were TPI Composites (TPIC:NAS), CSW Industrials (CSWI:NAS), John Bean Technologies (JBT:NYS), Colfax (CFX:NYS) and Rexnord (RXN:NYS).

Company RBC:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $5.12 (USD)
Book Value/Share $63.60 (USD)
Sales/Share $73.12 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $9.36 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $10.33 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$263.60 (USD) -22.8
$330.48 (USD) -66.4
$193.41 (USD) -46.5
$198.65 (USD) -43.2
$251.89 (USD) -25.3
RBC:NYS Ratios Used Average Values TPIC:NAS CSWI:NAS JBT:NYS CFX:NYS RXN:NYS
27.78 PE Ratio 51.48 0.00 45.80 43.25 77.54 39.35
2.24 PB Ratio 5.20 9.11 4.64 6.80 1.41 4.02
1.95 PS Ratio 2.65 1.01 4.40 2.74 1.96 3.12
15.20 PCF Ratio 24.24 41.52 27.81 14.29 18.61 18.95
14.06 EV to EBITDA 24.39 33.82 28.85 21.95 17.81 19.54

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $88.55 (USD) for RBC:NYS

Company RBC:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $5.12 (USD)
Book Value/Share $63.60 (USD)
Sales/Share $73.12 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $9.36 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $10.33 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$84.71 (USD) 0
$96.44 (USD) 0
$75.52 (USD) 0
$87.49 (USD) 0
$98.60 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 16.54
PB Ratio 1.52
PS Ratio 1.03
PCF Ratio 9.35
EV to EBITDA 9.55

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  RBC:NYS for the last 10 years was  1.52

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  RBC:NYS and generated a book value of  $63.65 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $96.54 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 2 analysts that provide a valuation for RBC:NYS. The 2 analysts have a concensus valuation for RBC:NYS for 2021 of $177.50 (USD).

RBC:NYS Regal Beloit

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
2 1 0 4.3333 Outperform 2021-5-27

Current Price: 142.23 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2021 2022 2023
Mean EPS 7.50 8.60 9.45
# EPS Analysts 2 2 1
Mean Revenue 3,219.50 3,331.00 3,426.00
# Revenue Analysts 2 2 1
Mean Target Price 177.50
Mean Cash Flow 10.22 12.21 12.76
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income 319.00 348.50 390.00
Mean Debt Outstanding 228.00 -72.50 -419.00
Mean Tax Rate 20.80 21.00 21.00
Mean Growth Rate 10.00
Mean Capital Expenditure 56.50 68.50 70.00

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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