Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report


Fundamental Valuation Report

Booz Allen Hamilton(BAH:NYS)

Industrials:Business Services

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$63.18 (USD) 29/05/2019

Weighted Valuation
$62.56 (USD)

Overall Rating
Fairly valued to slightly Overvalued by 1.0%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $59.00 (USD)
(in order of importance) Discounted Cash Flow: $69.09 (USD)
Comparables: $60.19 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Undervalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Fairly valued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (BAH:NYS USD)

Price 63.18
Range 62.31 – 63.68
52 week 43.35 – 63.18
Open 62.80
Vol / Avg. 1.3M/961246
Mkt cap 8.85B
P/E 21.71
Div/yield 0.80/0.01
EPS 2.91
Shares 140.03M
Beta 1.06

Company Description

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp is a provider of management consulting services to the U.S. government. Other services offered include technology, such as cloud computing and cybersecurity consulting, and engineering consulting. The consulting services are focused on defense, intelligence, and civil markets. In addition to the U.S. government, Booz Allen Hamilton provides its management and technology consulting services to large corporations, institutions, and nonprofit organizations. The company assists clients in long-term engagements around the globe.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for BAH:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $69.09 (USD) for BAH:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

BAH:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $69.09 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 8.15 $88.65 $55.90
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $57.08 $86.90
Tax Rate 0.19 $74.37 $63.82
Cash Flow 883,957,040 $64.57 $73.62
Capital Expenditures -65,942,600 $68.78 $69.41
Long Term Debt 1,563,117,000 $69.65 $68.53

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $60.19 (USD) for BAH:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $42.75 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were HMS Holdings (HMSY:NAS), Healthcare Services Group (HCSG:NAS), Verisk Analytics (VRSK:NAS), Synnex (SNX:NYS) and Exponent (EXPO:NAS).

Company BAH:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $2.91 (USD)
Book Value/Share $4.82 (USD)
Sales/Share $45.46 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $2.81 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $4.67 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$92.63 (USD) -45.9
$29.46 (USD) 99.0
$212.11 (USD) -69.8
$68.68 (USD) -29.4
$98.12 (USD) -17.2
BAH:NYS Ratios Used Average Values HMSY:NAS HCSG:NAS VRSK:NAS SNX:NYS EXPO:NAS
20.73 PE Ratio 31.83 47.55 27.32 39.42 13.03 0.00
12.30 PB Ratio 6.11 3.71 5.69 10.64 1.57 8.93
1.30 PS Ratio 4.67 4.38 1.27 9.70 0.23 7.74
21.10 PCF Ratio 28.82 27.18 31.56 24.31 0.00 32.23
14.88 EV to EBITDA 21.01 22.24 22.39 22.05 10.09 28.31

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $50.38 (USD) for BAH:NYS

Company BAH:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $2.91 (USD)
Book Value/Share $4.82 (USD)
Sales/Share $45.46 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $2.81 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $4.67 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$56.09 (USD) 0
$53.08 (USD) 0
$40.31 (USD) 0
$46.04 (USD) 0
$56.36 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 19.27
PB Ratio 11.01
PS Ratio 0.89
PCF Ratio 16.38
EV to EBITDA 12.07

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  BAH:NYS for the last 8 years was  10.98

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  BAH:NYS and generated a book value of  $4.82 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $52.97 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for BAH:NYS. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for BAH:NYS for 2020 of $59.00 (USD).

BAH:NYS Booz Allen Hamilton

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
1 0 0 5.0000 Buy 2019-5-28

Current Price: 63.18 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2020 2021
Mean EPS 3.01 3.34
# EPS Analysts 1 1
Mean Revenue 7,183.00 7,703.80
# Revenue Analysts 1 1
Mean Target Price 59.00
Mean Cash Flow 3.50 3.78
Mean EBITDA 732.70 793.50
Mean Net Income 420.80 459.90
Mean Debt Outstanding 1,684.50 1,673.50
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure 79.00 73.20

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).
The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.
We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.
Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.
With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.
If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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